The Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Missouri State Bears meet for the XBox Bowl on December 18, 2025.
The Red Wolves are favored, but by less than a field goal (-1.5), against the Bears. The over/under for this matchup is 55 points.
Keep reading to check out our preview for this this contest between the Red Wolves and the Bears, and discover all of our expert predictions here, too!
To Cover the Spread
Bet $20, Payout $38.69
Arkansas State -1.5 vs. Missouri State
Arkansas State vs. Missouri State betting lines
- Spread favorite: Red Wolves (-1.5)
- Moneyline: Red Wolves (-120), Bears (+101)
- Total: 55 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
- Live Stream: Fubo
Arkansas State vs. Missouri State betting info and stats
- Arkansas State has won seven games against the spread so far this season (7-5-0). Arkansas State has covered the spread two times when favored by at least 1.5 points (a 2-3 ATS record). In the four games as the moneyline favorite, Arkansas State has put up a 2-2 record. Missouri State is 7-5-0 against the spread so far this season. Missouri State has gone 3-3 ATS when it is the underdog by 1.5 points or more. Missouri State’s record in games it’ve played as an underdog this year is 2-4.
Arkansas State vs. Missouri State recent stats and trends
Arkansas State Red Wolves
- Arkansas State is 1-2 against the spread over its last three games, and has a 1-2 straight-up record in those contests.
- Arkansas State and its opponents have hit the over twice in those games.
- The past three Arkansas State games averaged 0.3 fewer points (54.7) than this matchup’s point total.
Missouri State Bears
- Missouri State is 1-2 against the spread and 1-2 overall during its last three matchups.
- The final combined score of the past three Missouri State games has surpassed the set total each time.
- The past three Missouri State games averaged 5.7 fewer points (49.3) than this matchup’s point total.
Arkansas State vs. Missouri State key players
Arkansas State Red Wolves
- Jaylen Raynor has recorded 3,073 yards (256.1 ypg) on 316-of-470 passing with 16 touchdowns compared to 11 interceptions this season. In addition, he’s added 434 rushing yards (36.2 ypg) on 151 carries while scoring seven touchdowns on the ground.
- Devin Spencer has carried the ball 102 times for a team-high 523 yards on the ground and has found the end zone two times.
- Kenyon Clay has been handed the ball 128 times this year and racked up 470 yards (39.2 per game) with three touchdowns. He’s also helped out in the pass game with 36 grabs for 192 yards and three touchdowns.
- Corey Rucker’s leads his squad with 866 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 69 receptions (out of 123 targets) and scored three touchdowns.
- Chauncy Cobb has caught 69 passes for 767 yards (63.9 yards per game) this year.
- Hunter Summers has a total of 466 receiving yards so far this year, grabbing 43 throws and scoring four touchdowns.
- Demarcus Hendricks leads the team with 6.5 sacks, and also has 8.0 TFL and 48 tackles.
- Arkansas State’s leading tackler, Aaron Alexander, has 80 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one interception this year.
- Avante Dickerson has a team-leading two interceptions to go along with 41 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
Missouri State Bears
- Jacob Clark leads Missouri State with 2,895 yards on 222-of-341 passing with 24 touchdowns compared to 11 interceptions this season.
- The team’s top rusher, Shomari Lawrence, has carried the ball 183 times for 964 yards (80.3 per game) with seven touchdowns.
- Ramone Green Jr. has run for 256 yards across 46 carries, scoring one touchdown. He’s chipped in with 26 catches for 421 yards and two touchdowns.
- Jmariyae Robinson has collected 40 catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 536 (48.7 yards per game). He’s been targeted 56 times and has six touchdowns.
- Dash Luke has caught 36 passes and compiled 471 receiving yards (42.8 per game) with three touchdowns.
- Tristian Gardner has racked up 465 reciving yards (38.8 ypg) and six touchdowns this season.
- DJ Wesolak leads the team with 4.0 sacks, and also has 5.0 TFL and 28 tackles.
- Jalen Brooks, Missouri State’s leading tackler, has 49 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks this year.
- Jordan Dunbar has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 13 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended to his name.
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