The Boston Celtics are 8.5-point favorites in a decisive Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Miami Heat at TD Garden on Thursday, tipping off at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Heat lead the series 3-1. The over/under is set at 215 for the matchup.
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Celtics vs. Heat betting lines
- Celtics odds to win: -314
- Heat odds to win: +253
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
- Total: 215
Celtics Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Boston is 32-9 in home contests and have covered the spread 23 times at home.
- This season, Boston has a 12-9-1 record ATS at home as 8.5-point favorites or more.
- Boston has gone over a set point total in a home game 25 times this year.
- Boston and its opponents have averaged a total of 226.9 points per home contest this season, 11.9 points greater than this game’s posted total.
Celtics Recent Trends
- The Celtics are 5-5 overall and 5-5 against the spread over their last 10 contests.
- The final score of the past 10 Celtics games has surpassed the set total six times.
- The last 10 Celtics games averaged 212.7 total points, 2.3 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Across their last 10 games, the Celtics have scored eight fewer points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
Celtics Betting Records
- The Celtics have won 71.6% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (53-21).
- The Celtics have a 23-9 record (winning 71.9% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -314 or shorter.
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Celtics have an implied win probability of 75.8%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.5 (14th in NBA) | 46.3 (fourth) | 45.3 (seventh) | 44 (18th) | 26.7 (seventh) | 12.7 (seventh) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Heat are 17-24 in road contests and have covered the spread 16 times on the road.
- This year, the Heat have a 1-2 record ATS in road games as 8.5-point underdogs or more.
- The Heat have hit the over in 17 of their 41 road games this season with a set over/under (41.5%).
- Recent history hints at an edge to the Heat to beat the total. This year their road games averaged a total of 220.4 points per contest.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have a 7-3 record straight-up in their last 10 contests, while covering the spread seven times in those games.
- The final scores of the last 10 Heat games have exceeded the set total six times.
- The Heat’s last 10 games have ended with an average of 210.6 points scored. That’s 4.4 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- During their past 10 games, the Heat have scored 0.8 fewer points per contest compared to their 109.5 PPG season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- The Heat have entered the game as underdogs 24 times this season and won eight, or 33.3%, of those games.
- This season, the Heat have been at least a +253 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 28.3% chance of a victory for the Heat.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 (26th in NBA) | 48.2 (21st) | 40.6 (27th) | 41.9 (sixth) | 23.8 (25th) | 12.8 (ninth) |
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