Celtics vs. Heat betting: Conference Finals Game 5 preview

Media by Associated Press: Miami Heat forward Jimmy Butler

The Boston Celtics are 8.5-point favorites in a decisive Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Miami Heat at TD Garden on Thursday, tipping off at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Heat lead the series 3-1. The over/under is set at 215 for the matchup.

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Celtics Cover -8.5 vs Heat -111

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Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Celtics vs. Heat betting lines

  • Celtics odds to win: -314
  • Heat odds to win: +253
  • Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
  • Total: 215

Celtics Statistics, Trends and More

As the Home Team

  • Boston is 32-9 in home contests and have covered the spread 23 times at home.
  • This season, Boston has a 12-9-1 record ATS at home as 8.5-point favorites or more.
  • Boston has gone over a set point total in a home game 25 times this year.
  • Boston and its opponents have averaged a total of 226.9 points per home contest this season, 11.9 points greater than this game’s posted total.

Celtics Recent Trends

  • The Celtics are 5-5 overall and 5-5 against the spread over their last 10 contests.
  • The final score of the past 10 Celtics games has surpassed the set total six times.
  • The last 10 Celtics games averaged 212.7 total points, 2.3 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Across their last 10 games, the Celtics have scored eight fewer points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.

Celtics Betting Records

  • The Celtics have won 71.6% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (53-21).
  • The Celtics have a 23-9 record (winning 71.9% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -314 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Celtics have an implied win probability of 75.8%.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.5 (14th in NBA) 46.3 (fourth) 45.3 (seventh) 44 (18th) 26.7 (seventh) 12.7 (seventh)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Celtics vs. Heat? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Heat Statistics, Trends and More

As the Away Team

  • The Heat are 17-24 in road contests and have covered the spread 16 times on the road.
  • This year, the Heat have a 1-2 record ATS in road games as 8.5-point underdogs or more.
  • The Heat have hit the over in 17 of their 41 road games this season with a set over/under (41.5%).
  • Recent history hints at an edge to the Heat to beat the total. This year their road games averaged a total of 220.4 points per contest.

Heat Recent Trends

  • The Heat have a 7-3 record straight-up in their last 10 contests, while covering the spread seven times in those games.
  • The final scores of the last 10 Heat games have exceeded the set total six times.
  • The Heat’s last 10 games have ended with an average of 210.6 points scored. That’s 4.4 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • During their past 10 games, the Heat have scored 0.8 fewer points per contest compared to their 109.5 PPG season-long scoring average.

Heat Betting Records

  • The Heat have entered the game as underdogs 24 times this season and won eight, or 33.3%, of those games.
  • This season, the Heat have been at least a +253 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 28.3% chance of a victory for the Heat.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46 (26th in NBA) 48.2 (21st) 40.6 (27th) 41.9 (sixth) 23.8 (25th) 12.8 (ninth)
Author Profile
BetDecider Team

The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.

Ryan Knuppel

Knup Solutions BetDecider Team

About Ryan Knuppel

Ryan has been one of the leading sports business & iGaming professionals for over 15 years. He started as a freelance writer and now operates one of the top sports content agencies around, Knup Solutions. He has literally written 10,000 plus sports and betting related articles across the web.


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Betting Guide

How Money Line Works?

Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.

How to Bet Odds

When we, as sports fans, learned our multiplication tables, we aced the number 7. Seven, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42 were easy because we all watched football on the weekends. Multiplication by sevens, then add a three, a six after a missed PAT.

How to Bet on NFL Games

Baseball is America’s pastime, but football is America’s crazed passion, with its weekly schedule of games, millions of television viewers across the country and the world, and the billion-dollar stadiums that serve as Sunday cathedrals in 32 American cities.

What is the Spread?

If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing.  The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …