Dayton vs. Northwestern betting: College basketball preview for November 9

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Dayton Flyers (1-0) are favored by 4.5 points against the Northwestern Wildcats (1-0) on Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 136.5 points.

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Dayton Cover -4.5 vs Northwestern -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Dayton vs. Northwestern betting lines

  • Dayton moneyline odds to win: -198
  • Northwestern moneyline odds to win: +164
  • Spread: Dayton (-4.5)
  • Total: 136.5

Dayton statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread last year, Dayton performed worse at home, covering six times in 15 home games, and six times in 11 road games.
  • The Flyers exceeded the total more often at home last year, hitting the over in nine of 15 home matchups (60%). In away games, they hit the over in six of 11 games (54.5%).
  • Dayton performed better as a moneyline favorite at home last year, sporting a home record of 15-0 home record, compared to going 4-4 away from home.

Last season stats

  • Last year, the Flyers were 153rd in college basketball on offense (74.2 points scored per game) and 31st on defense (66.5 points allowed).
  • Dayton was 276th in the country in rebounds per game (30.6) and 88th in rebounds conceded (30.0) last season.
  • The Flyers were 87th in college basketball in assists (14.6 per game) last year.

Dayton betting records last season

  • ATS Record: 16-16-1 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 6-4-1)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 9-10-0 (As Favorite: 11-14-0; As Underdog: 5-2-1)
  • O-U-P: 18-14-1 (Home: 9-5-1; Away: 6-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 21-5 (Home: 15-0; Away: 4-4)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.4 (40th in nation) 41.9 (62nd) 30.6 (276th) 30.0 (88th) 14.6 (87th) 9.8 (54th)

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Northwestern statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2023-24 against the spread, Northwestern had a lower winning percentage at home (.529, 9-7-1 record) than away (.545, 6-5-0).
  • Wildcats games finished above the over/under 70.6% of the time at home (12 of 17) last season, and 54.5% of the time on the road (six of 11).
  • In 2023-24 when moneyline underdogs, the Wildcats had a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 3-0 record) than on the road (.250, 2-6).

Last season stats

  • Last year the Wildcats put up 73.3 points per game (185th-ranked in college basketball) and allowed 69.1 points per contest (89th-ranked).
  • While Northwestern ranked in the bottom 25 in college basketball in rebounds per game with 29.1 (24th-worst), it ranked 109th in college basketball with 30.3 rebounds allowed per game.
  • The Wildcats delivered 15.5 assists per game, which ranked them 45th in the nation.

Northwestern betting records last season

  • ATS Record: 18-15-1 (Home: 9-7-1; Away: 6-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 9-9-1; As Underdog: 9-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-15-1 (Home: 12-5-0; Away: 6-4-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-3 (Home: 12-2; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-9 (Home: 3-0; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.5 (114th in nation) 45.1 (263rd) 29.1 (335th) 30.3 (109th) 15.5 (45th) 8.2 (sixth)
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