Josh Allen’s Buffalo Bills take the field against the AFC’s Houston Texans at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season. Let’s examine all of the prop bets available for Allen in this matchup, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Josh Allen to go over 230.5 yards
Josh Allen Prop Lines
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Date: October 6, 2024
- Passing yards prop: Over 230.5 (-115)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 32.5 (-120)
Josh Allen Stats and Trends
- Josh Allen has thrown for 814 yards (203.5 per game), completing 69.3% of his passes, with seven TDs and zero INTs.
- Sunday’s prop bet for Allen is 230.5 passing yards, which is 27.0 more yards than his average of 203.5 on the year.
- In four matchups this year, Allen has exceeded 230.5 passing yards twice.
- He has come up short of his season prop bet average (239.8 passing yards) by 36.3 yards per game.
- This year, Allen has finished above his passing yards prop total once.
- He has thrown for a touchdown in three of four games this year (with more than one TD pass twice).
- In addition Allen has 106 yards rushing on 22 attempts with two TDs, averaging 26.5 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Texans
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colts | 199 | 2 |
| 2 | Bears | 134 | 0 |
| 3 | Vikings | 156 | 4 |
| 4 | Jaguars | 155 | 2 |
Bills Away Splits
- The Bills score 20.5 points per game away from home (10.0 fewer than overall), and allow 22.5 away from home (1.7 more than overall).
- On the road, the Bills accumulate fewer yards (241.5 per game) than overall (305.8). They also concede more (389.0 per game) than overall (321.8).
- In road tilts, the Bills accumulate fewer passing yards (147.0 per game) than overall (195.5). They also concede more passing yards (184.0 per game) than overall (165.3).
- Away from home, the Bills pick up fewer rushing yards (94.5 per game) than overall (110.3). They also give up more rushing yards (205.0 per game) than overall (156.5).
- The Bills successfully convert 27.3% of third downs on the road (8.4% less than overall), and allow opponents to convert on 50.0% of third downs away from home (8.0% more than overall).
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