Justin Jefferson will hope to make a difference for the Minnesota Vikings when they play the New York Giants at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season. Below, we dig into Jefferson’s stats and trends as they relate to his prop bets to help you pick out the best bets for the player and this contest.
Justin Jefferson Prop Lines
- Matchup: Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants
- Time: 1:00 PM
- Date: September 8, 2024
- Receiving yards prop: Over 81.5 (-120)
Justin Jefferson Stats and Trends
- Last season, Jefferson hauled in 68 balls for 1,074 yards, good for 107.4 yards per game, the highest mark on the Vikings’ current roster. He saw 100 targets and also scored five touchdowns.
- Jefferson averaged 107.4 receiving yards per game last season, which is 25.9 yards more than his prop bet over/under for Sunday’s game (81.5).
- In 70.0% of his games last year (seven out of 10), Jefferson topped 81.5 receiving yards.
- He put up 16.3 more receiving yards per game (107.4) than his average over/under last season, which was 91.1 yards per game.
- Last year, Jefferson hit the over on receiving yards prop bets in six of his 10 games (60.0%).
- He had a receiving touchdown in four of 10 games last year (and had multiple receiving TDs once).
Last Season Performances vs. the Giants
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cowboys | 143 | 0 |
| 2 | Cardinals | 228 | 1 |
| 3 | 49ers | 300 | 2 |
| 4 | Seahawks | 160 | 1 |
| 5 | Dolphins | 302 | 2 |
| 6 | Bills | 169 | 2 |
| 7 | Commanders | 197 | 0 |
| 8 | Jets | 193 | 1 |
| 9 | Raiders | 209 | 0 |
| 10 | Cowboys | 472 | 4 |
| 11 | Commanders | 230 | 1 |
| 12 | Patriots | 136 | 0 |
| 14 | Packers | 203 | 1 |
| 15 | Saints | 209 | 3 |
| 16 | Eagles | 295 | 1 |
| 17 | Rams | 286 | 1 |
| 18 | Eagles | 166 | 1 |
Vikings Away Splits (Last Season)
- The Vikings scored 21.1 points per game on the road last year (0.9 more than overall) and allowed 19.6 in road games (1.7 fewer than overall).
- On the road, the Vikings picked up fewer yards (339.6 per game) than they did overall (347.8). But they also allowed fewer on the road (314.8) than overall (333.2).
- On the road last season, the Vikings accumulated fewer passing yards (233.3 per game) than they did overall (256.4). But they also allowed fewer passing yards in away games (210.3) than overall (234.5).
- On the road the Vikings accumulated more rushing yards (106.2 per game) than overall (91.4). But they also allowed more rushing yards (104.4) than overall (98.7).
- On the road in 2023, the Vikings converted fewer third downs (37.6%) than they did overall (38.1%). But they also allowed opponents to convert on fewer third downs in road games (36.1%) than overall (41.4%).
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