Justin Jefferson and his Minnesota Vikings teamates will take the field against the San Francisco 49ers at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 2 of the 2024 NFL campaign. Below, we dig into Jefferson’s stats and trends as they relate to his prop bets to help you find the top bets for the player and this matchup.
Justin Jefferson Prop Lines
- Matchup: Minnesota Vikings vs. San Francisco 49ers
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Date: September 15, 2024
- Receiving yards prop: Over 78.5 (-120)
Justin Jefferson Stats and Trends
- Jefferson was targeted 100 times last year and converted them into 68 receptions for 1,074 yards (107.4 ypg) with five touchdowns.
- Jefferson averaged 107.4 receiving yards per game last season, which is 28.9 yards more than his prop bet over/under for Sunday’s game (78.5).
- In seven of 10 games last season (70.0%), Jefferson gained over 78.5 receiving yards.
- He averaged 107.4 receiving yards per game a year ago — which is 16.3 more yards than his average prop bet over/under from last season (91.1).
- Last season, in six of his 10 games (60.0%), Jefferson hit the over on receiving yards prop bets.
- He had a touchdown catch in four games last season out of 10 games played. He had multiple TD receptions only one time.
Last Season Performances vs. the 49ers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steelers | 198 | 1 |
| 2 | Rams | 297 | 1 |
| 3 | Giants | 121 | 0 |
| 4 | Cardinals | 257 | 2 |
| 5 | Cowboys | 140 | 1 |
| 6 | Browns | 174 | 0 |
| 7 | Vikings | 378 | 2 |
| 8 | Bengals | 266 | 3 |
| 10 | Jaguars | 162 | 0 |
| 11 | Buccaneers | 221 | 1 |
| 12 | Seahawks | 132 | 0 |
| 13 | Eagles | 287 | 1 |
| 14 | Seahawks | 254 | 2 |
| 15 | Cardinals | 202 | 1 |
| 16 | Ravens | 241 | 2 |
| 17 | Commanders | 163 | 1 |
| 18 | Rams | 149 | 2 |
| Playoffs | Packers | 194 | 2 |
| Playoffs | Lions | 260 | 1 |
| Playoffs | Chiefs | 325 | 2 |
Vikings Home Splits (Last Season)
- In home games, the Vikings scored 19.3 points per game and conceded 23.3. That’s less than they scored overall (20.2), but more than they allowed (21.3).
- The Vikings racked up 357 yards per game at home (9.2 more than their overall average), and conceded 353.9 at home (20.7 more than overall).
- At home, the Vikings racked up 282.4 passing yards per game and conceded 261.6. That’s more than they gained (256.4) and allowed (234.5) overall.
- The Vikings accumulated 74.6 rushing yards per game at home (16.8 less than their overall average), and conceded 92.3 at home (6.4 less than overall).
- The Vikings’ offensive third-down percentage (38.8%) and defensive third-down percentage (47.3%) in home games were both higher than their overall averages of 38.1% and 41.4%, respectively.
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