Lakers vs. Nuggets betting: Conference Finals Game 4 preview

Media by Associated Press: Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray (27) in the second half of an NBA basketball game Friday

The Denver Nuggets are slight 3-point underdogs in a decisive Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals against the Los Angeles Lakers at Arena on Monday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on ESPN. The point total is 224.5 in the matchup.

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Lakers Cover -3 vs Nuggets -110

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Lakers vs. Nuggets betting lines

  • Lakers odds to win: -153
  • Nuggets odds to win: +130
  • Spread: Lakers (-3)
  • Total: 224.5
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Lakers Statistics, Trends and More

As the Home Team

  • Los Angeles has a 21-18-2 record against the spread at home and is 23-18 in home contests.
  • Los Angeles has a 9-9-1 record ATS in home games this year when playing as 3-point favorites or more.
  • Los Angeles has hit the over on a set point total in a home game 18 times this year.
  • Recent performance hints at an edge to Los Angeles to beat the total. This year its home games averaged a total of 231.8 points per contest.

Lakers Recent Trends

  • The Lakers have covered the spread seven times in their last 10 contests while putting up a 5-5 record straight-up in those games.
  • The Lakers and their opponents have combined to hit the over in six of those 10 games.
  • The past 10 Lakers games averaged 0.1 more points (224.6) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • During their last 10 games, the Lakers have scored 3.4 fewer points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.

Lakers Betting Records

  • The Lakers have gone 20-11 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 64.5% of those games).
  • The Lakers are 17-6 (winning 73.9% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -153 or shorter.
  • The Lakers have a 60.5% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.2 (10th in NBA) 46.9 (ninth) 45.7 (sixth) 44.9 (25th) 25.3 (15th) 13.5 (16th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Lakers vs. Nuggets? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More

As the Away Team

  • The Nuggets are 19-22 in road contests and have covered the spread 19 times on the road.
  • This year, the Nuggets have an 8-11 record ATS on the road when playing as 3-point underdogs or more.
  • Nuggets games have gone over the set point total 20 times on the road this season.
  • This season on the road the Nuggets and their opponents have averaged a total of 228.8 points per contest, 4.3 points greater than the over/under for this contest.

Nuggets Recent Trends

  • The Nuggets have a 8-2 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread five times in those games.
  • The Nuggets and their opponents have combined to hit the over in six of the past 10 games.
  • The Nuggets’ last 10 games have ended with an average of 225.4 points scored. That’s 0.9 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • During their past 10 games, the Nuggets have a 117.4 points-per-game average, 1.6 points above their season-long scoring average.

Nuggets Betting Records

  • The Nuggets have won 10, or 47.6%, of the 21 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • The Nuggets have a record of 5-7 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +130 on the moneyline.
  • The Nuggets have a 43.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
50.4 (first in NBA) 47.8 (20th) 43 (18th) 40.8 (first) 28.9 (second) 13.8 (20th)
Author Profile
BetDecider Team

The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.

Ryan Knuppel

Knup Solutions BetDecider Team

About Ryan Knuppel

Ryan has been one of the leading sports business & iGaming professionals for over 15 years. He started as a freelance writer and now operates one of the top sports content agencies around, Knup Solutions. He has literally written 10,000 plus sports and betting related articles across the web.


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Betting Guide

How Money Line Works?

Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.

How to Bet Odds

When we, as sports fans, learned our multiplication tables, we aced the number 7. Seven, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42 were easy because we all watched football on the weekends. Multiplication by sevens, then add a three, a six after a missed PAT.

How to Bet on NFL Games

Baseball is America’s pastime, but football is America’s crazed passion, with its weekly schedule of games, millions of television viewers across the country and the world, and the billion-dollar stadiums that serve as Sunday cathedrals in 32 American cities.

What is the Spread?

If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing.  The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …