The Miami Heat are slight 1.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Boston Celtics at FTX Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Heat hold a 3-0 lead in the series. The point total in the matchup is set at 217.
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Heat vs. Celtics betting lines
- Heat odds to win: -119
- Celtics odds to win: -100
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)
- Total: 217
Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Miami is 27-14 in home contests with a 14-24-3 record against the spread at home.
- Miami has a 10-21-3 record ATS in home games this season when playing as 1.5-point favorites or more.
- Miami’s home games have gone over the set point total 23 times this year.
- Recent performance gives an edge to Miami to beat the total. This year its home games averaged a total of 218.9 points per contest.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat are 8-2 overall and 8-2 against the spread over their past 10 games.
- The Heat’s past 10 games saw seven go over the total.
- The Heat’s last 10 outings have ended with an average of 210.9 points scored. That’s 6.1 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- In their past 10 games, the Heat have a points-per-game average 2.1 points above their season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- The Heat have won 36 of the 58 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (62.1%).
- The Heat are 33-20 (winning 62.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -119 or shorter.
- The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Heat a 54.3% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 (26th in NBA) | 48.2 (21st) | 40.6 (27th) | 41.9 (sixth) | 23.8 (25th) | 12.8 (ninth) |
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Celtics Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Celtics are 25-16 in road contests with a 21-18-2 record against the spread on the road.
- The Celtics’ record against the spread is 12-17-2 as 1.5-point underdogs or more in road games this season.
- Celtics road games have hit the over on the set point total 18 times this season.
- This season on the road the Celtics and their opponents have averaged a total of 228.8 points per contest, 11.8 points greater than the over/under for this contest.
Celtics Recent Trends
- The Celtics have covered the spread four times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 4-6 record straight-up in those games.
- The Celtics and their opponents have combined to hit the over in seven of the past 10 games.
- The past 10 Celtics games averaged 4.4 fewer points (212.6) than this matchup’s over/under.
- During their last 10 games, the Celtics have scored 8.1 fewer points per contest compared to their 117.9 PPG season-long scoring average.
Celtics Betting Records
- The Celtics have entered the game as underdogs eight times this season and won four of those games.
- This season, the Celtics have won four of their eight games when they’re the underdog by at least -100 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 50.0% chance of a victory for the Celtics.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.5 (14th in NBA) | 46.3 (fourth) | 45.3 (seventh) | 44 (18th) | 26.7 (seventh) | 12.7 (seventh) |
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