Heat vs. Celtics betting: Conference Finals Game 4 preview

Media by Associated Press: Boston Celtics' Malcolm Brogdon (13)

The Miami Heat are slight 1.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Boston Celtics at FTX Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Heat hold a 3-0 lead in the series. The point total in the matchup is set at 217.

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Heat Cover -1.5 vs Celtics -110

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Heat vs. Celtics betting lines

  • Heat odds to win: -119
  • Celtics odds to win: -100
  • Spread: Heat (-1.5)
  • Total: 217

Heat Statistics, Trends and More

As the Home Team

  • Miami is 27-14 in home contests with a 14-24-3 record against the spread at home.
  • Miami has a 10-21-3 record ATS in home games this season when playing as 1.5-point favorites or more.
  • Miami’s home games have gone over the set point total 23 times this year.
  • Recent performance gives an edge to Miami to beat the total. This year its home games averaged a total of 218.9 points per contest.

Heat Recent Trends

  • The Heat are 8-2 overall and 8-2 against the spread over their past 10 games.
  • The Heat’s past 10 games saw seven go over the total.
  • The Heat’s last 10 outings have ended with an average of 210.9 points scored. That’s 6.1 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • In their past 10 games, the Heat have a points-per-game average 2.1 points above their season-long scoring average.

Heat Betting Records

  • The Heat have won 36 of the 58 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (62.1%).
  • The Heat are 33-20 (winning 62.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -119 or shorter.
  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Heat a 54.3% chance to win.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46 (26th in NBA) 48.2 (21st) 40.6 (27th) 41.9 (sixth) 23.8 (25th) 12.8 (ninth)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Heat vs. Celtics? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Celtics Statistics, Trends and More

As the Away Team

  • The Celtics are 25-16 in road contests with a 21-18-2 record against the spread on the road.
  • The Celtics’ record against the spread is 12-17-2 as 1.5-point underdogs or more in road games this season.
  • Celtics road games have hit the over on the set point total 18 times this season.
  • This season on the road the Celtics and their opponents have averaged a total of 228.8 points per contest, 11.8 points greater than the over/under for this contest.

Celtics Recent Trends

  • The Celtics have covered the spread four times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 4-6 record straight-up in those games.
  • The Celtics and their opponents have combined to hit the over in seven of the past 10 games.
  • The past 10 Celtics games averaged 4.4 fewer points (212.6) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • During their last 10 games, the Celtics have scored 8.1 fewer points per contest compared to their 117.9 PPG season-long scoring average.

Celtics Betting Records

  • The Celtics have entered the game as underdogs eight times this season and won four of those games.
  • This season, the Celtics have won four of their eight games when they’re the underdog by at least -100 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 50.0% chance of a victory for the Celtics.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.5 (14th in NBA) 46.3 (fourth) 45.3 (seventh) 44 (18th) 26.7 (seventh) 12.7 (seventh)
Author Profile
BetDecider Team

The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.

Ryan Knuppel

Knup Solutions BetDecider Team

About Ryan Knuppel

Ryan has been one of the leading sports business & iGaming professionals for over 15 years. He started as a freelance writer and now operates one of the top sports content agencies around, Knup Solutions. He has literally written 10,000 plus sports and betting related articles across the web.


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Betting Guide

How Money Line Works?

Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.

How to Bet Odds

When we, as sports fans, learned our multiplication tables, we aced the number 7. Seven, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42 were easy because we all watched football on the weekends. Multiplication by sevens, then add a three, a six after a missed PAT.

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Baseball is America’s pastime, but football is America’s crazed passion, with its weekly schedule of games, millions of television viewers across the country and the world, and the billion-dollar stadiums that serve as Sunday cathedrals in 32 American cities.

What is the Spread?

If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing.  The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …