Michigan State vs. Ole Miss betting: March Madness Sweet 16 preview for March 28

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans (29-6) and the No. 6 seed Ole Miss Rebels (24-11) square off in the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 with a ticket to the Elite Eight of the South Region bracket up for grabs on Friday at State Farm Arena, beginning at 7:09 p.m. ET. Michigan State is a 3.5-point favorite in the contest, which airs on CBS. The matchup has an over/under of 144.5 points.

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Spread

Michigan State Cover -3.5 vs Ole Miss -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Michigan State vs. Ole Miss betting lines

  • Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -177
  • Ole Miss moneyline odds to win: +147
  • Spread: Michigan State (-3.5)
  • Total: 144.5

Michigan State statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • On offense, the Spartans have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 75.5 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 78.2 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
  • The past 10 games have seen Michigan State give up 1.3 fewer points per game (65.7) than its season-long average (67).
  • During their past 10 contests, the Spartans are making 1.2 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.2 compared to 6 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (35.5% compared to 31% season-long).

Michigan State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 24-11-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 7-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 18-6-0 (As Favorite: 19-9-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-24-0 (Home: 4-12-0; Away: 3-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 24-4 (Home: 15-1; Away: 3-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 4-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46 (103rd in nation) 40.4 (22nd) 37 (seventh) 28 (25th) 16.7 (21st) 10.8 (142nd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Michigan State vs. Ole Miss? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Ole Miss statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • While the Rebels are scoring 77.4 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, amassing 75.7 points per contest.
  • Over its last 10 games, Ole Miss is surrendering 79.8 points per contest, 8.1 more points than its season average (71.7).
  • The Rebels are draining 7.1 threes per contest in their last 10 games, which is 1.2 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (8.3). In addition, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (32.9%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (34.8%).

Ole Miss betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 18-17-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 4-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 7-4-0 (As Favorite: 8-11-0; As Underdog: 10-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-17-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-2 (Home: 12-2; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-9 (Home: 1-1; Away: 3-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.6 (173rd in nation) 43.3 (139th) 29.8 (307th) 33.4 (306th) 14.2 (125th) 8.7 (seventh)
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About Ryan Knuppel

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