The Miami Heat (20-18) are heavy, 14.5-point underdogs against the Oklahoma City Thunder (32-7) at Paycom Center on Sunday, January 11, 2026. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSOK. The matchup has a point total of 233.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $39.05
Thunder Cover -14.5 vs Heat -105
Thunder vs. Heat betting lines
- Thunder odds to win: -840
- Heat odds to win: +567
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
- Total: 233.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Thunder Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Oklahoma City has an 11-10 ATS record in home games so far while putting up a record of 18-3 overall in those contests.
- Oklahoma City’s record against the spread is 8-5 when playing as 14.5-point favorites or more at home this season.
- The Thunder have gone over a set point total in a home game 11 times this year.
- Recent performance seems to go against Oklahoma City to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 229.9 points per contest this season.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder have covered the spread three times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 6-4 record straight-up in those games.
- The final score of the last 10 Thunder games has surpassed the set total five times.
- The last 10 Thunder games averaged 232.2 total points, 1.3 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
- During their last 10 games, the Thunder have a points-per-game average 2.9 points below their season-long scoring average.
Thunder Betting Records
- The Thunder are 32-7 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 82.1% of those games).
- Oklahoma City has a record of 15-1 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -840 or shorter (winning 93.8%).
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Thunder an 89.4% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (third in NBA) | 43.5 (first) | 43.9 (18th) | 44.9 (20th) | 25.7 (17th) | 11.7 (second) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Heat have covered the spread 10 times on the road and are 7-12 in road contests.
- On the road this season, Heat games have hit the over on the set point total eight times.
- The Heat and their opponents have averaged a total of 235.9 points per road contest this season, 2.4 points greater than this game’s posted total.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have a 5-5 record straight-up in their past 10 contests, while covering the spread six times in those games.
- The Heat and their opponents have combined to hit the over in four of the past 10 games.
- The past 10 Heat games averaged 5.1 more points (238.6) than this matchup’s point total.
- In the last 10 games, the Heat are scoring 118.2 points per game compared to their 119.6 season average.
Heat Betting Records
- Miami has entered the game as underdogs 21 times this season and won 10, or 47.6%, of those games.
- The Heat have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +567.
- The implied probability of a win by the Heat based on the moneyline is 15.0%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.7 (17th in NBA) | 45.9 (fourth) | 45.8 (sixth) | 47.4 (28th) | 28.4 (seventh) | 13.9 (13th) |
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