Week 17 action in the NFL features Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals facing off against the Denver Broncos at 4:30 PM ET on Saturday. Let’s dig into all of the prop bets available for Burrow in this contest, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $36.67
Joe Burrow to go over 285.5 yards
Joe Burrow Prop Lines
- Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos
- Time: 4:30 PM ET
- Date: December 28, 2024
- Passing yards prop: Over 285.5 (-120)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 8.5 (-120)
Joe Burrow Stats and Trends
- Burrow has passed for 4,229 yards (281.9 per game), completing 68.9% of his passes, with 39 TDs and eight INTs.
- Burrow throws for 281.9 yards per game. That’s 3.6 fewer yards than his over/under on Saturday.
- In 15 games this year, Burrow has surpassed 285.5 passing yards on six occasions.
- His 281.9 passing yards per game average is 20.1 higher than his average prop bet total of 261.8.
- This season, Burrow has bettered his passing yards prop total in seven games (46.7%).
- He has completed a touchdown pass in 13 of 15 games this year — including multiple TDs 12 times.
- In addition Burrow has 177 yards rushing on 37 attempts with one TD, averaging 11.8 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Broncos
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seahawks | 158 | 1 |
| 2 | Steelers | 110 | 1 |
| 3 | Buccaneers | 132 | 1 |
| 4 | Jets | 184 | 0 |
| 5 | Raiders | 215 | 1 |
| 6 | Chargers | 222 | 1 |
| 7 | Saints | 174 | 1 |
| 8 | Panthers | 215 | 2 |
| 9 | Ravens | 269 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiefs | 243 | 1 |
| 11 | Falcons | 176 | 0 |
| 12 | Raiders | 300 | 1 |
| 13 | Browns | 475 | 4 |
| 15 | Colts | 161 | 0 |
| 16 | Chargers | 263 | 2 |
Bengals Home Splits
- The Bengals’ average points scored (28.7) and allowed (29.4) in home games are both higher than their overall averages of 28.2 and 26.2, respectively.
- The Bengals’ average yards gained at home (350.9) is lower than their overall average (360.1). But their average yards conceded at home (367.6) is higher than overall (359.9).
- The Bengals rack up 256.3 passing yards per game in home games (11 less than their overall average), and concede 234.4 at home (2.8 more than overall).
- At home, the Bengals accumulate 94.6 rushing yards per game and give up 133.1. That’s more than they gain (92.7) and allow (128.3) overall.
- The Bengals convert 53.7% of third downs at home (6.9% higher than their overall average), and concede 46.4% at home (3.2% higher than overall).
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