Northern Kentucky vs. Green Bay betting: College basketball preview for January 4

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Northern Kentucky Norse (8-7, 3-1 Horizon League) host the Green Bay Phoenix (2-14, 0-5 Horizon League) after winning seven straight home games. The Norse are double-digit favorites by 12.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, January 4, 2025. The matchup has a point total of 137.5.

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Northern Kentucky Cover -12.5 vs Green Bay -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Northern Kentucky vs. Green Bay betting lines

  • Northern Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -1053
  • Green Bay moneyline odds to win: +662
  • Spread: Northern Kentucky (-12.5)
  • Total: 137.5

Northern Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • When playing at home, Northern Kentucky has a better record against the spread (3-5-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (0-6-0).
  • In home games, the Norse eclipse the over/under 12.5% of the time (one of eight games). They hit the over more consistently on the road, eclipsing the total in 50% of games (three of six).
  • Northern Kentucky has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 5-1 (.833). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 1-0 (1.000).

Recent trends

  • The Norse’s offense has been better over their last 10 games, putting up 75.1 points per contest compared to the 71.1 they’ve averaged this season.
  • Northern Kentucky has been more porous on defense lately, giving up 71.2 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 70.3 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2024-25 season.
  • Over their past 10 outings, the Norse are making 0.6 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.4 compared to 7.8 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (34.1% compared to 32.4% season-long).

Northern Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 3-11-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 0-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 12.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 3-5-0; As Underdog: 0-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 4-10-0 (Home: 1-7-0; Away: 3-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-1 (Home: 5-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-6 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.0 (276th in nation) 43.4 (206th) 33.3 (175th) 31.3 (198th) 15.0 (124th) 13.3 (317th)

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Green Bay statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Green Bay has performed better against the spread away (4-5-0) than at home (1-6-0) this year.
  • Phoenix games have gone above the over/under 14.3% of the time at home (one of seven), and 55.6% of the time away (five of nine).
  • The Phoenix, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-3) than on the road (1-6) this year.

Recent trends

  • While the Phoenix are averaging 70.1 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, amassing 65.4 points per contest.
  • Green Bay is allowing 81.3 points per game in its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 81.2 points allowed.
  • Over their previous 10 games, the Phoenix are draining 6.9 threes per game, 1.5 fewer threes than their season average (8.4). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (30.8%) compared to their season average (32.4%).

Green Bay betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 5-11-0 (Home: 1-6-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 12.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 1-5-0; As Underdog: 4-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 6-9-1 (Home: 1-6-0; Away: 5-3-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-5 (Home: 1-3; Away: 0-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-9 (Home: 0-3; Away: 1-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.4 (214th in nation) 47.3 (342nd) 26.9 (353rd) 34.9 (327th) 12.9 (254th) 12.9 (294th)
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