The UCSB Gauchos (10-5, 2-2 Big West) are 4-point favorites as they look to build on a three-game win streak when they visit the Cal Poly Mustangs (6-11, 0-5 Big West) on Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center. The matchup airs at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The point total is set at 157 for the matchup.
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UCSB Cover -4 vs Cal Poly -105
UCSB vs. Cal Poly betting lines
- UCSB moneyline odds to win: -185
- Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: +152
- Spread: UCSB (-4)
- Total: 157
UCSB statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- UCSB sports a better record against the spread at home (4-3-0) than it does in away games (3-3-0).
- The Gauchos have gone over the over/under more consistently at home, hitting the over in four of seven home matchups (57.1%). On the road, they have hit the over in zero of six games (0%).
- UCSB has fared better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 5-2, compared to going 2-2 in road games.
Recent trends
- The Gauchos’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, racking up 71.2 points a contest compared to the 75.5 they’ve averaged this season.
- The past 10 games have seen UCSB give up 64.7 points per game, equal to its season-long average.
- The Gauchos’ last 10 outings have seen them make 8.7 three-pointers per game while shooting 37.2% from deep. Both numbers are down from their 2024-25 averages of 9.5 makes and 37.8%.
UCSB betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-6-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4+: 5-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
- O-U-P: 4-9-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 0-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-4 (Home: 5-2; Away: 2-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (47th in nation) | 40.3 (47th) | 34.0 (104th) | 26.9 (17th) | 14.5 (139th) | 11.9 (223rd) |
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Cal Poly statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, Cal Poly has a lower winning percentage at home (.200, 1-4-0 record) than away (.400, 4-6-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Mustangs games have finished over four of five times at home (80%), and seven of 10 on the road (70%).
- This season the Mustangs are 1-2 at home as moneyline underdogs (.333 winning percentage). On the road they are 2-7 (.222).
Recent trends
- Over their previous 10 games, the Mustangs are scoring 82.5 points per contest, 0.9 more than their season average (81.6).
- Cal Poly is giving up 89.6 points per game in its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 85.9 points allowed.
- The Mustangs are making 11.5 treys per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 0.5 more than their average for the season (11.0). That said, they sport a worse shooting percentage from downtown over their previous 10 contests (34.1%) compared to their season average (34.2%).
Cal Poly betting records this season
- ATS Record: 5-10-0 (Home: 1-4-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 0-3-0; As Underdog: 5-7-0)
- O-U-P: 11-4-0 (Home: 4-1-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-1 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-9 (Home: 1-2; Away: 2-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.8 (144th in nation) | 46.3 (310th) | 32.1 (225th) | 35.1 (337th) | 16.1 (67th) | 16.8 (363rd) |
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