Nevada vs. Fresno State betting: College basketball preview for January 11

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Data Skrive

The Nevada Wolf Pack (8-7, 0-4 MWC) take a four-game losing streak into a road matchup with the Fresno State Bulldogs (4-12, 0-5 MWC), who have lost five straight. The Wolf Pack are big favorites (-12.5) in the contest, which tips at 7:00 PM ET (on MW Network) on Saturday, January 11, 2025. The matchup’s over/under is set at 148.

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Nevada Cover -12.5 vs Fresno State -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Nevada vs. Fresno State betting lines

  • Nevada moneyline odds to win: -1000
  • Fresno State moneyline odds to win: +633
  • Spread: Nevada (-12.5)
  • Total: 148

Nevada statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • At home last season, Nevada sported a worse record against the spread (10-7-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (8-3-0).
  • In home games last season, the Wolf Pack eclipsed the total 52.9% of the time (nine of 17 games). They hit the over in 45.5% of games on the road (five of 11 contests).
  • As a moneyline favorite last season, Nevada picked up the win in 14 of 16 games at home, good for a .875 winning percentage. Nevada won three of four games away from home (.750) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Wolf Pack have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 72.9 points per game in their last 10 outings, 2.2 points fewer than the 75.1 they’ve scored this season.
  • Nevada has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 69.4 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 67.5 it has conceded this season.
  • The Wolf Pack’s past 10 contests have seen them make 8.0 three-pointers per game while shooting 38.3% from deep. Both numbers are down from their 2024-25 averages of 8.1 makes and 40.9%.

Nevada betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-6-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 1-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 12.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 8-6-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 5-10-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 1-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-6 (Home: 6-3; Away: 0-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.3 (46th in nation) 42.5 (141st) 29.9 (314th) 28.1 (40th) 15.9 (74th) 10.4 (71st)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Nevada vs. Fresno State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Fresno State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Fresno State has had better results away (5-3-0) than at home (2-3-1).
  • Bulldogs games have gone above the over/under more often at home (four times out of six) than on the road (five of eight) this season.
  • The Bulldogs, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-3) than on the road (1-7) this year.

Recent trends

  • The Bulldogs are posting 73.1 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 0.4 fewer points than their average for the season (73.5).
  • Fresno State has performed worse defensively in its past 10 games, ceding 86.7 points per contest, 3.9 more points than its season average of 82.8.
  • The Bulldogs are making 7.7 threes per contest over their past 10 games, which is 0.6 more than their average for the season (7.1). Likewise, they own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (35.2%) compared to their season average from three-point land (31.9%).

Fresno State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-6-1 (Home: 2-3-1; Away: 5-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 12.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-1; As Underdog: 8-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-5-1 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 5-2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-0 (Home: 3-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-12 (Home: 0-3; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
40.6 (344th in nation) 47.4 (342nd) 32.5 (205th) 38.8 (362nd) 11.3 (332nd) 12.8 (291st)
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