The No. 16 Michigan State Spartans (13-2, 4-0 Big Ten) visit the Northwestern Wildcats (10-5, 1-3 Big Ten) after winning three straight road games. The Spartans are favored by just 2.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 12:00 PM ET on Sunday, January 12, 2025. The point total in the matchup is 137.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $39.05
Michigan State Cover -2.5 vs Northwestern -105
Michigan State vs. Northwestern betting lines
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -137
- Northwestern moneyline odds to win: +115
- Spread: Michigan State (-2.5)
- Total: 137.5
Michigan State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Michigan State did a better job covering the spread in home games (11-7-0) last season than it did in road tilts (5-5-0).
- The Spartans exceeded the total in a lower percentage of home games (38.9%) than away games (50%) last season.
- Michigan State won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home last season, going 12-4 (.750). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it sported a record of 3-4 (.429).
Recent trends
- The Spartans have seen a downturn in scoring lately, putting up 80.8 points per game in their last 10 outings, 0.7 points fewer than the 81.5 they’ve scored this season.
- Michigan State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (64.7) is 1.2 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (65.9).
- The Spartans’ past 10 contests have seen them make 6.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 31.7% from deep. Both numbers are up compared to their 2024-25 averages of 5.7 makes and 28.4%.
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-5-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 2-0-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 8-4-0 (As Favorite: 8-4-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 5-10-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-1 (Home: 8-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.7 (59th in nation) | 39.5 (33rd) | 38.1 (10th) | 27.3 (20th) | 18.3 (11th) | 11.9 (224th) |
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Northwestern statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Northwestern’s winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .500. It is 4-3-1 ATS on its home court and 2-2-0 on the road.
- In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Wildcats’ games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, four of eight) than away (100%, four of four).
- In 2024-25 as moneyline underdogs, the Wildcats have a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 1-0 record) than away (.000, 0-4).
Recent trends
- While the Wildcats are posting 74.1 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, tallying 73.3 points per contest.
- Northwestern has performed worse defensively in its last 10 games, surrendering 67.5 points per contest, 1.3 more points than its season average of 66.2.
- Over their previous 10 games, the Wildcats are sinking 6.2 three-pointers per contest, 0.1 more than their season average (6.1). However, they own a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (32.1%) compared to their season average (32.5%).
Northwestern betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-6-1 (Home: 4-3-1; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-4-1; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-6-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 4-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-1 (Home: 7-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.8 (195th in nation) | 43.2 (178th) | 31.3 (266th) | 30.7 (161st) | 15.1 (108th) | 9.1 (13th) |
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