The No. 12 Michigan State Spartans (14-2, 5-0 Big Ten) are heavy, 11.5-point favorites as they try to extend a nine-game winning streak when they host the Penn State Nittany Lions (12-5, 2-4 Big Ten) on Wednesday, January 15, 2025 at Jack Breslin Students Events Center. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET on Big Ten Network. The matchup’s over/under is 152.
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Michigan State Cover -11.5 vs Penn State -107
Michigan State vs. Penn State betting lines
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -719
- Penn State moneyline odds to win: +510
- Spread: Michigan State (-11.5)
- Total: 152
Michigan State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread last season, Michigan State fared better at home, covering 11 times in 18 home games, and five times in 10 road games.
- The Spartans eclipsed the over/under in seven of 18 home games (38.9%) last season. They fared better on the road, topping the total in five of 10 matchups (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Michigan State won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.750) compared to away games (.429) last year.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Spartans have been putting up 81.4 points per contest, an average that’s a little higher than the 81.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- The past 10 games have seen Michigan State concede 0.1 fewer points per game (65.9) than its season-long average (66.0).
- During their past 10 outings, the Spartans are making 0.9 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.5 compared to 5.6 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (34.9% compared to 28.9% season-long).
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-5-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 3-0-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 5-3-0 (As Favorite: 9-4-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 6-10-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 2-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-1 (Home: 8-0; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (61st in nation) | 39.2 (25th) | 37.6 (10th) | 27.4 (22nd) | 18.3 (ninth) | 11.7 (206th) |
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Penn State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Last year, Penn State was 9-7-0 at home against the spread (.562 winning percentage). Away, it was 6-4-0 ATS (.600).
- Looking at the over/under, Nittany Lions games finished over more frequently at home (11 of 16, 68.8%) than on the road (five of 10, 50%) last year.
- As moneyline underdogs last season, the Nittany Lions won a higher percentage of games at home (5-2) than on the road (2-8).
Recent trends
- Over their previous 10 games, the Nittany Lions are putting up 79.2 points per game, compared to their season average of 84.4.
- While Penn State is giving up 70.6 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its previous 10 games, allowing 72.5 points per contest.
- The Nittany Lions are making 1.1 fewer treys per game in their previous 10 games (5.9) compared to their season average (7.0), and they are putting up a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (30.3%) compared to their season mark (33.5%).
Penn State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-10-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 0-2-0)
- O-U-P: 7-10-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 0-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-2 (Home: 8-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.6 (34th in nation) | 43.4 (195th) | 33.0 (165th) | 30.6 (149th) | 17.1 (30th) | 11.3 (166th) |
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