The UC Davis Aggies (9-8, 3-3 Big West) are 5.5-point underdogs as they attempt to stop a three-game road losing streak when they visit the Cal Poly Mustangs (6-12, 0-6 Big West) on Thursday, January 16, 2025 at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center. The contest airs at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The over/under for the matchup is set at 157.
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Cal Poly Cover -5.5 vs UC Davis -104
Cal Poly vs. UC Davis betting lines
- Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: -213
- UC Davis moneyline odds to win: +175
- Spread: Cal Poly (-5.5)
- Total: 157
Cal Poly statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Cal Poly sports a worse record against the spread in home games (2-4-0) than it does in road games (4-6-0).
- At home, the Mustangs go over the over/under 66.7% of the time (four of six games). They hit the over more consistently on the road, exceeding the total in 70% of games (seven of 10).
- Cal Poly has performed better as a moneyline favorite in home games, posting a home record of 2-0, compared to going 0-1 on the road.
Recent trends
- The Mustangs’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, racking up 81.5 points per contest compared to the 81.1 they’ve averaged this year.
- Cal Poly’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has allowed 89.2 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 85.3 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- Over their last 10 contests, the Mustangs are making 0.6 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (11.4 compared to 10.8 season-long), while shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (32.9% compared to 33.7% season-long).
Cal Poly betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-10-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 0-3-0; As Underdog: 6-7-0)
- O-U-P: 11-5-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-1 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.7 (139th in nation) | 46.4 (315th) | 32.1 (218th) | 34.8 (334th) | 15.9 (70th) | 16.4 (362nd) |
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UC Davis statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, UC Davis has performed better at home (4-2-0) than away (3-5-0).
- Aggies games have finished above the over/under less often at home (one time out of six) than on the road (three of eight) this year.
- In 2024-25 as moneyline underdogs, the Aggies have a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 1-0 record) than away (.167, 1-5).
Recent trends
- While the Aggies are putting up 70.1 points per game in 2024-25, they have bettered that mark over their past 10 games, producing 70.7 a contest.
- While UC Davis is surrendering 71.0 points per game in 2024-25, it has bettered that mark over its past 10 games, allowing 67.0 points per contest.
- The Aggies are sinking 0.1 fewer treys per game in their past 10 games (6.3) compared to their season average (6.4), and they are posting a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (31.0%) compared to their season mark (31.2%).
UC Davis betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-7-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 3-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 1-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-2-0; As Underdog: 2-5-0)
- O-U-P: 4-10-0 (Home: 1-5-0; Away: 3-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-2 (Home: 3-2; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.7 (341st in nation) | 42.2 (123rd) | 31.9 (228th) | 33.6 (297th) | 10.6 (350th) | 14.3 (341st) |
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