The Central Arkansas Bears (5-12, 1-3 ASUN) are heavy underdogs (by 11.5 points) to end a 10-game road losing streak when they visit the North Florida Ospreys (8-9, 1-3 ASUN) on Thursday, January 16, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 157.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.52
North Florida Cover -11.5 vs Central Arkansas -108
North Florida vs. Central Arkansas betting lines
- North Florida moneyline odds to win: -658
- Central Arkansas moneyline odds to win: +468
- Spread: North Florida (-11.5)
- Total: 157.5
North Florida statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- North Florida has a worse record against the spread at home (2-3-0) than it does in away games (5-5-0).
- The Ospreys have hit the over on the over/under in four of five home games (80%). They’ve done the same on the road, going over the total in eight of 10 matchups (80%).
- North Florida has performed worse as a moneyline favorite in home games, posting a home record of 2-2, compared to going 2-1 in away games.
Recent trends
- The Ospreys have been putting up 81.8 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 83.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- North Florida’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 90.5 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 85.1 points per game its opponents average this season.
- During their past 10 contests, the Ospreys are making 0.5 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (12.1 compared to 12.6 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (33.4% compared to 35.4% season-long).
North Florida betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-8-0 (Home: 2-3-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- O-U-P: 12-3-0 (Home: 4-1-0; Away: 8-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 2-2; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-6 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6 (207th in nation) | 48.1 (351st) | 33.5 (134th) | 37.8 (358th) | 15.9 (70th) | 10.9 (123rd) |
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Central Arkansas statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Central Arkansas’ winning percentage against the spread at home is .600 (3-2-0). Away, it is .625 (5-3-0).
- In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Bears’ games have finished above the over/under at home (80%, four of five) compared to away (62.5%, five of eight).
- The Bears, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than away (0-7) this year.
Recent trends
- While the Bears are posting 71.9 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their last 10 games, tallying 70.8 points per contest.
- While Central Arkansas is surrendering 77.0 points per game in 2024-25, it has improved that mark over its previous 10 games, allowing 76.4 points per contest.
- The Bears are draining 0.2 fewer threes per game over their last 10 games (8.9) compared to their season average (9.1), and they are posting a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (26.8%) compared to their season mark (27.6%).
Central Arkansas betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-5-0 (Home: 3-2-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 1-3-0; As Underdog: 8-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-5-0 (Home: 4-1-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-2 (Home: 2-1; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-9 (Home: 1-1; Away: 0-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.1 (356th in nation) | 44.5 (247th) | 33.7 (122nd) | 34.2 (319th) | 14.2 (153rd) | 11.1 (134th) |
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