The No. 8 Kentucky Wildcats (14-3, 3-1 SEC) are only 2.5-point favorites as they look to continue a three-game home win streak when they host the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (14-3, 3-1 SEC) on Saturday, January 18, 2025 at Rupp Arena. The contest airs at 12:00 PM ET on ESPN. The over/under for the matchup is set at 178.5.
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Kentucky Cover -2.5 vs Alabama -110
Kentucky vs. Alabama betting lines
- Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -143
- Alabama moneyline odds to win: +120
- Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
- Total: 178.5
Kentucky statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Kentucky did a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (6-3-1) than it did in home games (8-10-0) last year.
- The Wildcats exceeded the over/under more consistently at home last season, hitting the over in 15 of 18 home matchups (83.3%). In road games, they hit the over in five of 10 games (50%).
- Kentucky performed better as a moneyline favorite in home games last year, sporting a home record of 12-4 home record, compared to going 3-2 on the road.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Wildcats have been scoring 83.1 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 88.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Kentucky’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 79.1 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 74.6 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- The Wildcats are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 9.4 threes per game and shooting 35.2% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 10.1 makes and 36.5% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-8-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 1-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 6-6-0 (As Favorite: 6-8-0; As Underdog: 3-0-0)
- O-U-P: 9-8-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 1-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 11-0; Away: 0-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.5 (33rd in nation) | 41.6 (86th) | 36.4 (27th) | 32.5 (260th) | 18.6 (seventh) | 9.5 (19th) |
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Alabama statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Alabama has had better results away (3-2-0) than at home (4-4-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Crimson Tide games have gone over less frequently at home (three of eight, 37.5%) than on the road (three of five, 60%).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Crimson Tide are putting up 89.4 points per game, 0.1 fewer points than their season average (89.5).
- In its past 10 games, Alabama is giving up 77.2 points per contest, the same number of points it is allowing per game this season.
- Over their last 10 games, the Crimson Tide are sinking 10.4 treys per game, 0.4 more than their season average (10.0). However, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (31.5%) compared to their season average (32.0%).
Alabama betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-8-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 7-8-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
- O-U-P: 9-8-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-3 (Home: 7-1; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.1 (77th in nation) | 40.6 (51st) | 40.9 (third) | 32.3 (244th) | 17.1 (30th) | 12.2 (254th) |
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