Iowa State vs. UCF betting: College basketball preview for January 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 3 Iowa State Cyclones (15-2, 5-1 Big 12) are heavily favored (by 16.5 points) to extend an eight-game home winning streak when they host the UCF Knights (12-5, 3-3 Big 12) on Tuesday, January 21, 2025 at 8:00 PM ET. The over/under in the matchup is set at 154.5.

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Iowa State Cover -16.5 vs UCF -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Iowa State vs. UCF betting lines

  • Iowa State moneyline odds to win: -1695
  • UCF moneyline odds to win: +934
  • Spread: Iowa State (-16.5)
  • Total: 154.5

Iowa State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Iowa State owns a worse record against the spread at home (6-4-0) than it does in road games (3-1-0).
  • The Cyclones have eclipsed the total less often at home, hitting the over in two of 10 home matchups (20%). In away games, they have hit the over in three of four games (75%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Iowa State has won a higher percentage of its games at home (1.000) compared to away games (.667).

Recent trends

  • The Cyclones have seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 82.2 points per game in their last 10 outings, 1.6 points fewer than the 83.8 they’ve scored this season.
  • Iowa State has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 64.9 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 65.2 it has conceded per game this season.
  • While the Cyclones are knocking down fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (7.0 per game) when compared to their season-long average (7.1), they are doing so while shooting the same percentage from deep (34.3%).

Iowa State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-6-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 3-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 16.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 9-6-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-9-0 (Home: 2-8-0; Away: 3-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-1 (Home: 9-0; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.2 (15th in nation) 40.6 (51st) 34.4 (88th) 27.9 (30th) 16.0 (68th) 10.1 (48th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Iowa State vs. UCF? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

UCF statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, UCF performed better at home (11-6-1) than away (6-4-0) last year.
  • In terms of the over/under, Knights games finished over seven of 18 times at home (38.9%) and six of 10 on the road (60%) last season.
  • The Knights’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs was .333 last year, both at home (2-4) and away (3-6).

Recent trends

  • The Knights have played worse offensively in their last 10 games, putting up 76.7 points per contest, 2.2 fewer points their than season average of 78.9.
  • UCF has played better defensively over its last 10 games, allowing 75.3 points per contest, 2.1 fewer points than its season average of 77.4 allowed.
  • The Knights are sinking 8.9 threes per game with a 34.8% three-point percentage in their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 8.5 and 33.6%.

UCF betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-8-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 3-0-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 16.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 4-5-0; As Underdog: 5-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-6-1 (Home: 4-6-1; Away: 3-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-0 (Home: 8-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-5 (Home: 1-2; Away: 2-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.1 (309th in nation) 44.2 (231st) 32.8 (163rd) 33.5 (300th) 14.5 (134th) 12.1 (247th)
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