The Michigan Wolverines (14-5, 6-2 Big Ten) are favored (by 8.5 points) to build on a nine-game home win streak when they host the Penn State Nittany Lions (13-7, 3-6 Big Ten) on Monday, January 27, 2025 at 6:30 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 160.
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Michigan Cover -8.5 vs Penn State -112
Michigan vs. Penn State betting lines
- Michigan moneyline odds to win: -420
- Penn State moneyline odds to win: +325
- Spread: Michigan (-8.5)
- Total: 160
Michigan statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Michigan has a better record against the spread when playing at home (6-3-0) than it does in away games (3-2-0).
- The Wolverines have exceeded the total in a lower percentage of games at home (66.7%) than games on the road (80%).
- Michigan has performed better as a moneyline favorite in home games, sporting a home record of 9-0, compared to going 1-1 on the road.
Recent trends
- The Wolverines’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, racking up 86.9 points per contest compared to the 83.5 they’ve averaged this season.
- Michigan has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 77.3 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 70.6 it has surrendered this season.
- During their past 10 contests, the Wolverines are making 0.6 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.1 compared to 9.5 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38.0% compared to 36.7% season-long).
Michigan betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-8-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 6-4-0 (As Favorite: 9-7-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 12-7-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 4-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-4 (Home: 9-0; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.0 (sixth in nation) | 40.4 (43rd) | 35.6 (44th) | 27.9 (28th) | 17.8 (12th) | 14.7 (350th) |
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Penn State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Penn State has an identical winning percentage (.500) at home (6-6-0 record) and on the road (2-2-0).
- Nittany Lions games have finished above the over/under more often at home (seven times out of 12) than on the road (one of four) this year.
- The Nittany Lions, when moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (0-1) as on the road (0-4) this year.
Recent trends
- While the Nittany Lions are scoring 83.8 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, producing 78.8 points per contest.
- In its previous 10 games, Penn State is giving up 74.9 points per contest, 2.9 more points than its season average (72.0).
- The Nittany Lions are sinking 1.3 fewer treys per contest over their previous 10 games (5.9) compared to their season average (7.2), and they are posting a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (29.5%) compared to their season mark (34.1%).
Penn State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-10-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 7-8-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 8-12-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-2 (Home: 9-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (24th in nation) | 44.2 (226th) | 32.2 (192nd) | 30.8 (158th) | 17.1 (20th) | 11.4 (187th) |
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