SEC foes meet when the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-5, 4-4 SEC) host the No. 20 Missouri Tigers (16-4, 5-2 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum, tipping off at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 1, 2025. The Bulldogs are 6.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 149.5.
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Mississippi State Cover -6.5 vs Missouri -111
Mississippi State vs. Missouri betting lines
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: -282
- Missouri moneyline odds to win: +227
- Spread: Mississippi State (-6.5)
- Total: 149.5
Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Mississippi State owns a worse record against the spread at home (4-6-0) than it does in away games (3-3-0).
- The Bulldogs have gone over the over/under more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in seven of 10 home matchups (70%). In road games, they have hit the over in two of six games (33.3%).
- Mississippi State has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 8-2 (.800). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 4-0 (1.000).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Bulldogs have been putting up 77.2 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 80.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Mississippi State has been more porous on defense as of late, allowing 73.3 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 70.4 points per game its opponents average in the 2024-25 season.
- The Bulldogs’ last 10 outings have seen them make 8 three-pointers per game while shooting 29.9% from deep. Both numbers are down from their 2024-25 averages of 8.5 makes and 32.1%.
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-12-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 5-7-0 (As Favorite: 9-10-0; As Underdog: 0-2-0)
- O-U-P: 11-10-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-3 (Home: 8-2; Away: 4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 (120th in nation) | 42.4 (116th) | 36 (30th) | 32.3 (247th) | 15.9 (60th) | 9.9 (42nd) |
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Missouri statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Missouri has been better against the spread at home (9-6-0) than away (2-2-0) this year.
- In terms of the over/under, Tigers games have finished over less frequently at home (seven of 15, 46.7%) than away (two of four, 50%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Tigers have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than on the road (1-3).
Recent trends
- While the Tigers are scoring 83.2 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, tallying 77 points per contest.
- Missouri is giving up 71.7 points per game over its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 69 points allowed.
- The Tigers are making 9 three-pointers per contest over their past 10 games, which is 0.3 more than their average for the season (8.7). Likewise, they have a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (37.8%) compared to their season average from downtown (37.3%).
Missouri betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-8-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 3-0-0 (As Favorite: 8-6-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
- O-U-P: 10-10-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-0 (Home: 13-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (37th in nation) | 42.1 (104th) | 32.1 (195th) | 29.7 (99th) | 13.4 (206th) | 10.9 (131st) |

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