The Philadelphia Eagles and A.J. Brown will hit the field for the Super Bowl versus the Kansas City Chiefs at 6:30 PM ET on Sunday. In this piece we’ll break down the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Brown’s matchup.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
A.J. Brown to go over 70.5 yards
A.J. Brown Prop Lines
- Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Time: 6:30 PM ET
- Date: February 9, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 70.5 (-111)
A.J. Brown Stats and Trends
- Brown has a team-high 1,079-yard campaign thus far (83.0 yards per game), with seven touchdowns. He has reeled in 67 balls on 97 targets.
- Brown averages 83.0 receiving yards, 12.5 more than his over/under for Sunday.
- In eight of 13 games this season, Brown has put up over 70.5 receiving yards.
- His average prop total for receiving yards is 78.1. He has collected 4.9 more per game than that.
- In eight of 13 games, Brown has gone over on his receiving yards prop bet.
- He has had a touchdown catch in seven of 13 games this season, but had only one TD in each of those games.
Recent Performances vs. the Chiefs
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens | 267 | 1 |
| 2 | Bengals | 246 | 2 |
| 3 | Falcons | 229 | 1 |
| 4 | Chargers | 169 | 1 |
| 5 | Saints | 174 | 2 |
| 7 | 49ers | 209 | 0 |
| 8 | Raiders | 195 | 2 |
| 9 | Buccaneers | 189 | 2 |
| 10 | Broncos | 182 | 2 |
| 11 | Bills | 262 | 1 |
| 12 | Panthers | 249 | 1 |
| 13 | Raiders | 318 | 2 |
| 14 | Chargers | 194 | 1 |
| 15 | Browns | 127 | 0 |
| 16 | Texans | 227 | 2 |
| 17 | Steelers | 162 | 0 |
| 18 | Broncos | 321 | 4 |
| Playoffs | Texans | 187 | 0 |
| Playoffs | Bills | 227 | 2 |
Eagles Home Splits
- At home, the Eagles put up 26.6 points per game and concede 17.4. That’s less than they score (27.2) and allow (17.8) overall.
- The Eagles’ average yards gained at home (377.8) is higher than their overall average (367.2). But their average yards allowed at home (277) is lower than overall (278.4).
- In home games, the Eagles rack up 213.2 passing yards per game and concede 169.3. That’s more than they gain overall (187.9), and less than they allow (174.2).
- At home, the Eagles rack up 164.6 rushing yards per game and concede 107.7. That’s less than they gain overall (179.3), and more than they allow (104.2).
- The Eagles’ offensive third-down percentage in home games (45.4%) is higher than their overall average (41.7%). Their defensive third-down percentage at home (31.5%) is lower than overall (35.5%).
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