The Fresno State Bulldogs (5-18, 1-11 MWC) are heavy, 12.5-point underdogs as they look to stop a five-game losing streak when they host the Utah State Aggies (20-3, 10-2 MWC) on Friday, February 7, 2025 at Save Mart Center. The game airs at 10:00 PM ET on MW Network. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5 points.
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Utah State Cover -12.5 vs Fresno State -110
Utah State vs. Fresno State betting lines
- Utah State moneyline odds to win: -935
- Fresno State moneyline odds to win: +613
- Spread: Utah State (-12.5)
- Total: 154.5
Utah State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- At home, Utah State sports a worse record against the spread (5-7-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (4-3-0).
- At home, the Aggies exceed the total 58.3% of the time (seven of 12 games). They’ve hit the over in 42.9% of games on the road (three of seven contests).
- As a moneyline favorite, Utah State has taken 10 of 12 games at home, good for a .833 winning percentage. It has won three of four games on the road (.750) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- On offense, the Aggies have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 77.3 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 81.0 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
- Utah State’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 71.6 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 68.3 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- The Aggies’ last 10 outings have seen them make 9.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 37.9% from deep. Both numbers are up compared to their 2024-25 averages of 8.7 makes and 35.6%.
Utah State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-12-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 12.5+: 5-3-0 (As Favorite: 6-12-0; As Underdog: 4-0-0)
- O-U-P: 10-12-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-3 (Home: 10-2; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (20th in nation) | 43.6 (182nd) | 31.8 (209th) | 28.8 (57th) | 18.3 (seventh) | 10.8 (123rd) |
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Fresno State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, Fresno State has a better winning percentage at home (.500, 5-3-2 record) than away (.455, 5-6-0).
- In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Bulldogs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, five of 10) compared to on the road (63.6%, seven of 11).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Bulldogs have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-6) than away (1-10).
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs have fared better offensively over their last 10 games, generating 73.0 points per contest, 0.4 more than their season average of 72.6.
- In its previous 10 games, Fresno State is surrendering 84.8 points per game, 2.6 more points than its season average (82.2).
- In their past 10 games, the Bulldogs are sinking 6.5 three-pointers per contest, 0.2 fewer threes than their season average (6.7). They own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (32.5%) compared to their season average (30.9%).
Fresno State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-9-2 (Home: 5-3-2; Away: 5-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 12.5+: 7-5-0 (As Favorite: 2-1-1; As Underdog: 10-8-1)
- O-U-P: 13-9-1 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 7-3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-0 (Home: 4-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-18 (Home: 0-6; Away: 1-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.6 (345th in nation) | 46.6 (322nd) | 31.9 (205th) | 38.6 (364th) | 11.3 (331st) | 12.5 (287th) |

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