The Louisville Cardinals (17-6, 10-2 ACC) are heavily favored (by 18.5 points) to continue a six-game home win streak when they host the Miami Hurricanes (5-17, 1-10 ACC) on Saturday, February 8, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. The over/under is set at 153 in the matchup.

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Louisville vs. Miami (FL) betting lines

• Louisville moneyline odds to win: -3030
• Miami (FL) moneyline odds to win: +1306
• Spread: Louisville (-18.5)
• Total: 153

Louisville statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Louisville has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered five times in 12 games when playing at home, and it has covered seven times in eight games on the road.
• The Cardinals have eclipsed the over/under in three of 12 home games (25%). They’ve done better on the road, going over the total in four of eight matchups (50%).
• As a moneyline favorite, Louisville has won nine of 11 games at home, good for a .818 winning percentage. It has won three of four games on the road (.750) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

• The Cardinals have seen an increase in scoring recently, racking up 79.9 points per game in their last 10 outings, 1.1 points more than the 78.8 they’ve scored this season.
• Louisville has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 65.7 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 69.1 it has conceded per game this year.
• The Cardinals are trending up from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 10 threes per game and shooting 35.2% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.8 makes and 32% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Louisville betting records this season

• ATS Record: 14-9-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 7-1-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 18.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 10-8-0; As Underdog: 4-1-0)
• O-U-P: 7-16-0 (Home: 3-9-0; Away: 4-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-4 (Home: 9-2; Away: 3-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-1)

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Miami (FL) statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Miami (FL)’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .231 (3-10-0). On the road, it is .200 (1-4-0).
• In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Hurricanes’ games have finished above the over/under at home (61.5%, eight of 13) compared to away (60%, three of five).
• This season the Hurricanes are 1-4 at home when moneyline underdogs (.200 winning percentage). Away they are 0-3 (.000).

Recent trends

• While the Hurricanes are averaging 74.9 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their past 10 games, producing 70.3 points per contest.
• Miami (FL) has played worse defensively over its last 10 games, giving up 86.3 points per contest, 6.7 more points than its season average of 79.6.
• In their previous 10 games, the Hurricanes are making 6.5 treys per game, 0.9 fewer threes than their season average (7.4). They also sport a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (31.1%) compared to their season average (31.7%).

Miami (FL) betting records this season

• ATS Record: 5-17-0 (Home: 3-10-0; Away: 1-4-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 18.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 1-11-0; As Underdog: 4-6-0)
• O-U-P: 13-9-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 3-2-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-8 (Home: 3-4; Away: 0-2)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-9 (Home: 1-4; Away: 0-3)