The No. 8 Iowa State Cyclones (17-5, 7-4 Big 12) are heavy, 16.5-point underdogs as they attempt to break a three-game losing streak when they host the TCU Horned Frogs (12-10, 5-6 Big 12) on Saturday, February 8, 2025 at James H. Hilton Coliseum. The contest airs at 12:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The matchup has a point total of 136.5.
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Iowa State Cover -16.5 vs TCU -111
Iowa State vs. TCU betting lines
- Iowa State moneyline odds to win: -2041
- TCU moneyline odds to win: +1030
- Spread: Iowa State (-16.5)
- Total: 136.5
Iowa State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Iowa State has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered seven times in 12 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered four times in seven opportunities on the road.
- The Cyclones have exceeded the total in three of 12 home games (25%). They’ve fared better on the road, topping the total in four of seven matchups (57.1%).
- In home games, Iowa State has won more often as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 10-1 (.909). On the road, it is 3-1 (.750) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Cyclones have been putting up 74.4 points per contest, an average that’s significantly lower than the 81.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- The past 10 games have seen Iowa State concede 2.2 more points per game (69.8) than its season-long average (67.6).
- The Cyclones’ last 10 contests have seen them make 6.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 34% from deep. Both numbers are down from their 2024-25 averages of 7 makes and 34.1%.
Iowa State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-9-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 16.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 11-7-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
- O-U-P: 10-12-0 (Home: 3-9-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-2 (Home: 10-1; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (45th in nation) | 41.5 (74th) | 34.1 (82nd) | 28.5 (47th) | 14.9 (99th) | 10.6 (106th) |
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TCU statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, TCU has a better winning percentage at home (.462, 6-7-0 record) than on the road (.333, 2-4-0).
- In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Horned Frogs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (23.1%, three of 13) than away (33.3%, two of six).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Horned Frogs have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than away (1-5).
Recent trends
- The Horned Frogs have fared worse offensively over their previous 10 games, averaging 62.8 points per contest, 5.7 fewer points their than season average of 68.5.
- TCU is allowing 68.5 points per game in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 67.1 points allowed.
- The Horned Frogs are sinking 1.1 fewer treys per contest over their last 10 games (5.4) compared to their season average (6.5), and they are putting up a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (28%) compared to their season mark (31.2%).
TCU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-14-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 16.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-8-0; As Underdog: 3-6-0)
- O-U-P: 7-15-0 (Home: 3-10-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-3 (Home: 9-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.2 (311th in nation) | 43.5 (172nd) | 30.8 (269th) | 30.5 (148th) | 12.7 (258th) | 10.2 (75th) |

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