USC vs. Penn State betting: College basketball preview for February 11

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Penn State Nittany Lions (13-11, 3-10 Big Ten) are 3.5-point underdogs as they look to break a five-game road slide when they square off against the USC Trojans (13-10, 5-7 Big Ten) on Tuesday, February 11, 2025 at Galen Center. The matchup airs at 9:00 PM ET on Big Ten Network. The matchup has an over/under of 150.5 points.

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Spread

USC Cover -3.5 vs Penn State -117

Bet $20, Payout $37.09

USC vs. Penn State betting lines

  • USC moneyline odds to win: -185
  • Penn State moneyline odds to win: +153
  • Spread: USC (-3.5)
  • Total: 150.5

USC statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • When playing at home, USC sports a worse record against the spread (6-9-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (4-2-0).
  • At home, the Trojans exceed the over/under 66.7% of the time (10 of 15 games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, exceeding the total in 83.3% of games (five of six).

Recent trends

  • The Trojans have averaged 76.4 points per game over their last 10 contests, the same amount they’ve racked up on average this season.
  • The past 10 games have seen USC allow 6.5 more points per game (79.8) than its season-long average (73.3).
  • The Trojans’ 7.0 made three-pointers per-game average over their last 10 games are more than the 6.6 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a lower percentage of made shots, 34.0% compared to their season-long percentage of 34.2% from deep.

USC betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-13-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 4-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 5-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-6-1 (Home: 10-5-0; Away: 5-0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 9-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-8 (Home: 1-3; Away: 3-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.7 (48th in nation) 44.9 (255th) 29.0 (329th) 29.5 (90th) 15.4 (73rd) 10.9 (134th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on USC vs. Penn State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Penn State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, Penn State is 6-8-0 at home against the spread (.429 winning percentage). On the road, it is 3-3-0 ATS (.500).
  • In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Nittany Lions’ games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, seven of 14) compared to away (16.7%, one of six).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Nittany Lions have won the same percentage of games (.000) at home (0-1) and away (0-6).

Recent trends

  • Over their previous 10 games, the Nittany Lions are tallying 69.5 points per game, compared to their season average of 80.3.
  • Penn State has performed worse defensively over its previous 10 games, giving up 79.4 points per contest, 6.7 more points than its season average of 72.7.
  • The Nittany Lions are sinking 6.3 treys per game in their previous 10 games, which is 0.8 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.1). Additionally, they own a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (31.8%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (33.9%).

Penn State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-13-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 3-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 7-10-0; As Underdog: 4-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-16-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 1-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-4 (Home: 9-3; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.7 (48th in nation) 44.9 (255th) 31.3 (233rd) 30.9 (166th) 16.1 (43rd) 11.8 (233rd)
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