The No. 22 Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-6, 5-5 SEC) host the No. 3 Florida Gators (20-3, 7-3 SEC) in a matchup of SEC teams at Humphrey Coliseum, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 11, 2025. The Bulldogs are 1.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 153.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.54
Mississippi State Cover -1.5 vs Florida -114
Mississippi State vs. Florida betting lines
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: -137
- Florida moneyline odds to win: +115
- Spread: Mississippi State (-1.5)
- Total: 153.5
Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Mississippi State has played worse at home, covering four times in 11 home games, and four times in seven road games.
- When playing at home, the Bulldogs eclipse the total 63.6% of the time (seven of 11 games). They’ve hit the over in 42.9% of away games (three of seven contests).
- Mississippi State has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 8-3 (.727). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 4-0 (1.000).
Recent trends
- On offense, the Bulldogs have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 74.3 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 79.7 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
- Mississippi State’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (75.7) is 4.4 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (71.3).
- During their past 10 contests, the Bulldogs are making 0.8 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.6 compared to 8.4 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (29.0% compared to 32.0% season-long).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-13-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 9-11-0 (As Favorite: 9-11-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
- O-U-P: 12-11-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-4 (Home: 8-3; Away: 4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0 (117th in nation) | 43.1 (146th) | 35.5 (33rd) | 32.2 (246th) | 15.7 (61st) | 9.9 (50th) |
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Florida statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, Florida has a better winning percentage at home (.667, 8-4-0 record) than on the road (.500, 3-3-0).
- Gators games have gone above the over/under 41.7% of the time at home (five of 12), and 50% of the time away (three of six).
Recent trends
- Over their last 10 games, the Gators are scoring 78.9 points per contest, 4.8 fewer points than their season average (83.7).
- Florida has played worse defensively in its last 10 games, giving up 70.3 points per contest, 3.9 more points than its season average of 66.4.
- In their previous 10 games, the Gators are sinking 8.7 treys per game, 0.6 fewer threes than their season average (9.3). They also own a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (33.7%) compared to their season average (34.2%).
Florida betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-7-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 15-5-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
- O-U-P: 10-13-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-1 (Home: 11-1; Away: 3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.6 (85th in nation) | 38.7 (10th) | 40.5 (second) | 30.7 (154th) | 15.4 (73rd) | 10.7 (115th) |
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