Belmont vs. Valparaiso betting: College basketball preview for February 12

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Valparaiso Beacons (10-15, 3-11 MVC) host the Belmont Bruins (17-8, 9-5 MVC) after losing four straight home games. The Bruins are favored by 4.5 points in the contest, which tips at 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 12, 2025. The matchup has a point total of 161.5.

Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!

Spread

Belmont Cover -4.5 vs Valparaiso -115

Bet $20, Payout $37.39

Belmont vs. Valparaiso betting lines

  • Belmont moneyline odds to win: -222
  • Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +182
  • Spread: Belmont (-4.5)
  • Total: 161.5

Belmont statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Belmont has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered four times in 12 games at home, and it has covered six times in 10 games when playing on the road.
  • Looking at over/unders, the Bruins hit the over more consistently in home games, as they’ve gone over the total 10 times in 12 opportunities this season (83.3%). In road games, they have hit the over six times in 10 opportunities (60%).
  • Belmont has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 8-2 (.800). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 3-0 (1.000).

Recent trends

  • The Bruins’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, putting up 82.0 points per contest compared to the 81.5 they’ve averaged this year.
  • Belmont’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (78.3) reflects no change from its season-long per-game points allowed average during the 2024-25 campaign.
  • During their last 10 outings, the Bruins are making 0.5 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (11.4 compared to 10.9 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (40.4% compared to 38.8% season-long).

Belmont betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-12-1 (Home: 4-7-1; Away: 6-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 3-5-1 (As Favorite: 6-7-1; As Underdog: 5-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-7-0 (Home: 10-2-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 8-2; Away: 3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-5 (Home: 0-2; Away: 4-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.1 (63rd in nation) 46.7 (326th) 32.0 (191st) 33.0 (288th) 17.8 (ninth) 10.9 (136th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Belmont vs. Valparaiso? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Valparaiso statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Valparaiso has an identical winning percentage (.500) at home (6-6-0 record) and away (5-4-1).
  • Looking at the over/under, Beacons games have finished over seven of 12 times at home (58.3%), and six of 10 away (60%).
  • This season the Beacons are 2-4 at home as moneyline underdogs (.333 winning percentage). Away they are 2-8 (.200).

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Beacons are averaging 69.3 points per contest, 6.1 fewer points than their season average (75.4).
  • In its past 10 games, Valparaiso is surrendering 78.3 points per game, 3.5 more points than its season average (74.8).
  • In their last 10 games, the Beacons are draining 7.2 treys per contest, 0.4 fewer threes than their season average (7.6). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (31.3%) compared to their season average (32.6%).

Valparaiso betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-11-1 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 5-4-1)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 6-5-1 (As Favorite: 4-3-0; As Underdog: 7-8-1)
  • O-U-P: 14-9-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-2 (Home: 4-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-13 (Home: 2-4; Away: 2-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.8 (285th in nation) 46.4 (320th) 31.7 (204th) 31.4 (197th) 11.5 (324th) 9.9 (51st)
Author Profile
BetDecider Team

The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.

Ryan Knuppel

Knup Solutions [molongui_author_name]

About Ryan Knuppel

Ryan has been one of the leading sports business & iGaming professionals for over 15 years. He started as a freelance writer and now operates one of the top sports content agencies around, Knup Solutions. He has literally written 10,000 plus sports and betting related articles across the web.

 

Sports Network:

sports20.com, usawager.com, knupsports.com, baseballspotlight.com, basketballarticles.com, betdecider.com, njsportsbookreview.com, dunkelindex.com, sportspub.com, oddschoice.com

 

Betting Guide

How Money Line Works?

Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.

How to Bet Odds

When we, as sports fans, learned our multiplication tables, we aced the number 7. Seven, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42 were easy because we all watched football on the weekends. Multiplication by sevens, then add a three, a six after a missed PAT.

How to Bet on NFL Games

Baseball is America’s pastime, but football is America’s crazed passion, with its weekly schedule of games, millions of television viewers across the country and the world, and the billion-dollar stadiums that serve as Sunday cathedrals in 32 American cities.

What is the Spread?

If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing.  The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …