Michigan State vs. Purdue betting: College basketball preview for February 18

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Data Skrive

The No. 14 Michigan State Spartans (20-5, 11-3 Big Ten) host the No. 13 Purdue Boilermakers (19-7, 11-4 Big Ten) in a matchup of Big Ten teams at Jack Breslin Students Events Center, beginning at 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 18, 2025. The Spartans are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under in the matchup is 148.5.

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Michigan State Cover -3.5 vs Purdue -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Michigan State vs. Purdue betting lines

  • Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -162
  • Purdue moneyline odds to win: +136
  • Spread: Michigan State (-3.5)
  • Total: 148.5

Michigan State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Michigan State has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered seven times in 13 games when playing at home, and it has covered four times in six games on the road.
  • When it comes to point totals, the Spartans hit the over less often in home games, as they’ve gone over the total four times in 13 opportunities this season (30.8%). On the road, they have hit the over two times in six opportunities (33.3%).
  • Michigan State has played better as a moneyline favorite at home, putting up a home record of 12-1, compared to going 2-1 in road games.

Recent trends

  • The Spartans have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 75.9 points per game in their last 10 contests, 3.4 points fewer than the 79.3 they’ve scored this year.
  • Michigan State’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has given up 69.9 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 67.5 points per game its opponents average this season.
  • The Spartans’ 5.3 made three-pointers per-game average in their past 10 games are less than the 5.6 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 30.3% compared to their season-long percentage of 29.1% from beyond the arc.

Michigan State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-10-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 4-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 11-6-0 (As Favorite: 12-8-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-16-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 2-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-3 (Home: 12-1; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.7 (84th in nation) 39.9 (20th) 37.3 (ninth) 27.8 (25th) 17.6 (ninth) 11.4 (192nd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Michigan State vs. Purdue? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Purdue statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Purdue has a lower winning percentage at home (.571, 8-6-0 record) than on the road (.750, 6-2-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Boilermakers games have finished over more often at home (11 of 14, 78.6%) than on the road (three of eight, 37.5%).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Boilermakers have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than on the road (1-3).

Recent trends

  • Over their past 10 games, the Boilermakers are posting 81.7 points per game, 3.0 more than their season average (78.7).
  • Purdue has performed worse defensively over its last 10 games, surrendering 71.9 points per contest, 2.1 more points than its season average of 69.8.
  • The Boilermakers are sinking 0.7 fewer threes per game in their previous 10 games (7.3) compared to their season average (8.0), and they are delivering a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (37.1%) compared to their season mark (37.7%).

Purdue betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-11-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 6-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 12-8-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-10-0 (Home: 11-3-0; Away: 3-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-3 (Home: 11-2; Away: 4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.4 (10th in nation) 44.5 (225th) 30.1 (294th) 28.8 (53rd) 16.5 (33rd) 10.0 (59th)
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