The NC State Wolfpack (10-15, 3-11 ACC) visit the North Carolina Tar Heels (15-11, 8-6 ACC) after losing eight straight road games. The Tar Heels are heavy favorites by 10.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 19, 2025. The matchup’s over/under is set at 145.5.
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North Carolina Cover -10.5 vs NC State -107
North Carolina vs. NC State betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -595
- NC State moneyline odds to win: +434
- Spread: North Carolina (-10.5)
- Total: 145.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- North Carolina has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered four times in 11 opportunities at home, and it has covered two times in 10 opportunities in away games.
- When playing at home, the Tar Heels eclipse the total 36.4% of the time (four of 11 games). They hit the over more often in away games, eclipsing the total in 50% of games (five of 10).
- North Carolina has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 9-2 (.818). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 4-1 (.800).
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels have seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 73.6 points per game in their last 10 outings, 6.7 points fewer than the 80.3 they’ve scored this season.
- The last 10 games have seen North Carolina give up 2.6 fewer points per game (74.2) than its season-long average (76.8).
- The Tar Heels’ 6.9 made three-pointers per-game average in their last 10 games are less than the 7.3 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 33.8% compared to their season-long percentage of 33.0% from beyond the arc.
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-19-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 2-8-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 5-13-0; As Underdog: 2-6-0)
- O-U-P: 13-13-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-4 (Home: 9-2; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.0 (64th in nation) | 43.1 (143rd) | 33.5 (101st) | 32.8 (282nd) | 14.3 (130th) | 10.7 (121st) |
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NC State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, NC State has a better winning percentage at home (.375, 6-10-0 record) than on the road (.286, 2-5-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Wolfpack games have finished over less frequently at home (five of 16, 31.2%) than away (four of seven, 57.1%).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Wolfpack have won the same percentage of games (.000) at home (0-5) and on the road (0-5).
Recent trends
- While the Wolfpack are putting up 69.5 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their past 10 games, tallying 64.9 points per contest.
- In its last 10 games, NC State is allowing 71.3 points per game, 2.6 more points than its season average (68.7).
- The Wolfpack are sinking the same number of treys per game in their previous 10 games as their season average (6.2), and they are producing a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (30.0%) compared to their season mark (31.5%).
NC State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-17-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 2-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-8-0; As Underdog: 3-9-0)
- O-U-P: 9-16-0 (Home: 5-11-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 10-1; Away: 0-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-12 (Home: 0-5; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.8 (288th in nation) | 44.6 (230th) | 29.8 (301st) | 33.1 (294th) | 12.2 (283rd) | 8.9 (11th) |

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