Toledo vs. Bowling Green betting: College basketball preview for February 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Toledo Rockets (16-10, 9-4 MAC) host the Bowling Green Falcons (10-16, 4-9 MAC) after winning four straight home games. The Rockets are favored by 7.5 points in the contest, which tips at 6:00 PM ET on Friday, February 21, 2025. The over/under for the matchup is 156.5.

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Toledo Cover -7.5 vs Bowling Green -116

Bet $20, Payout $37.24

Toledo vs. Bowling Green betting lines

  • Toledo moneyline odds to win: -356
  • Bowling Green moneyline odds to win: +280
  • Spread: Toledo (-7.5)
  • Total: 156.5

Toledo statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Toledo owns a worse record against the spread in home games (2-6-1) than it does in away games (9-4-0).
  • The Rockets have gone over the total in a lower percentage of home games (33.3%) than games on the road (53.8%).
  • Toledo has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 6-2 (.750). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 4-1 (.800).

Recent trends

  • The Rockets have been racking up 79.5 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 78.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • Toledo has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 77.8 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 77.7 it has surrendered this year.
  • The Rockets are trending up from deep during their last 10 outings, making 6.3 threes per game and shooting 38.2% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 6.1 makes and 34.6% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Toledo betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-12-1 (Home: 2-6-1; Away: 9-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 2-4-1 (As Favorite: 6-9-1; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-13-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 7-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-4 (Home: 6-2; Away: 4-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-6 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46 (116th in nation) 47.4 (338th) 31.9 (186th) 31.9 (232nd) 13.3 (210th) 9 (13th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Toledo vs. Bowling Green? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Bowling Green statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Bowling Green’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .417 (5-7-0). On the road, it is .400 (4-6-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Falcons games have gone over less frequently at home (six of 12, 50%) than away (seven of 10, 70%).
  • The Falcons, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-6) than on the road (1-7) this season.

Recent trends

  • The Falcons have performed worse offensively over their last 10 games, generating 71.6 points per contest, 3.6 fewer points their than season average of 75.2.
  • Bowling Green has played worse defensively over its previous 10 games, giving up 76.7 points per contest, one more point than its season average of 75.7.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Falcons are sinking 7.7 three-pointers per game, 0.5 fewer threes than their season average (8.2). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (32.8%) compared to their season average (34%).

Bowling Green betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-14-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-3-0; As Underdog: 5-11-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-11-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 7-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-2 (Home: 5-1; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-14 (Home: 0-6; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.7 (241st in nation) 45.9 (301st) 30.3 (288th) 31.6 (211th) 11.3 (334th) 11.2 (172nd)
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