Ball State vs. Buffalo betting: College basketball preview for February 22

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Ball State Cardinals (13-13, 6-7 MAC) are favored (by 9.5 points) to continue a three-game home win streak when they host the Buffalo Bulls (8-18, 3-10 MAC) on Saturday, February 22, 2025 at 2:30 PM ET. The matchup’s point total is set at 151.5.

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Ball State Cover -9.5 vs Buffalo -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Ball State vs. Buffalo betting lines

  • Ball State moneyline odds to win: -485
  • Buffalo moneyline odds to win: +365
  • Spread: Ball State (-9.5)
  • Total: 151.5

Ball State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Ball State has done a better job covering the spread in road games (7-4-0) than it has at home (2-9-0).
  • The Cardinals have exceeded the over/under in the same percentage of games at home as road games (63.6%).
  • Ball State has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 5-4 (.556). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 2-1 (.667).

Recent trends

  • The Cardinals have seen an increase in scoring recently, racking up 77.4 points per game in their last 10 outings, 0.9 points more than the 76.5 they’ve scored this year.
  • Ball State has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 79 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 74.5 points per game its opponents average over the 2024-25 season.
  • While the Cardinals are connecting on fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (6.8 per game) in comparison to their season-long average (7.2), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (34.9% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 34.8% on the season).

Ball State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-14-0 (Home: 2-9-0; Away: 7-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 0-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-9-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-10-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 7-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-5 (Home: 5-4; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-8 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.4 (96th in nation) 44.3 (214th) 31.7 (200th) 31 (179th) 13.4 (204th) 11.4 (197th)

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Buffalo statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Buffalo has had better results on the road (7-5-1) than at home (3-8-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Bulls games have gone over four of 11 times at home (36.4%), and eight of 13 on the road (61.5%).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Bulls have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-8) than away (3-10).

Recent trends

  • Over their past 10 games, the Bulls are averaging 71.6 points per game, compared to their season average of 71.7.
  • Buffalo is giving up 80.8 points per game in its past 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (81.1).
  • In their previous 10 games, the Bulls are making 8.2 threes per game, 0.4 more than their season average (7.8). They also own a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (30.5%) compared to their season average (29.9%).

Buffalo betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-13-1 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 7-5-1)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 6-5-1 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 9-12-1)
  • O-U-P: 12-12-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 8-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-18 (Home: 1-8; Away: 3-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.2 (313th in nation) 46.7 (326th) 31.5 (212th) 35.7 (353rd) 13.8 (169th) 14.3 (353rd)
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