The Milwaukee Bucks (31-24) are 5.5-point favorites as they try to build on a three-game winning streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-28) on Sunday, February 23, 2025 at Fiserv Forum. The game airs at 6:00 PM ET on FDSWI and FDSSUN. The matchup has an over/under of 221.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.35
Bucks Cover -5.5 vs Heat -109
Bucks vs. Heat betting lines
- Bucks odds to win: -218
- Heat odds to win: +180
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)
- Total: 221.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Bucks Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Milwaukee is 19-9 in home contests and have covered the spread 15 times at home.
- Milwaukee has a 10-7 record ATS at home this season as 5.5-point favorites or more.
- The Bucks have hit the over in 14 of their 28 home games this season with a set over/under (50%).
- This season at home, Milwaukee and its opponents have averaged a total of 227.3 points per contest, 5.8 points greater than the over/under for this contest.
Bucks Recent Trends
- The Bucks have a 5-5 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread three times in those games.
- The Bucks and their opponents have combined to hit the over in four of those 10 games.
- The last 10 Bucks games averaged 230.7 total points, 9.2 more points than this matchup’s point total.
- During their last 10 games, the Bucks have scored 1.7 fewer points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
Bucks Betting Records
- The Bucks have won 65% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (26-14).
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -218 or shorter, Milwaukee has a record of 18-7 (72% win percentage).
- The Bucks have a 68.6% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 (seventh in NBA) | 45.2 (fourth) | 44 (20th) | 45.9 (26th) | 25.2 (21st) | 13.1 (10th) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Heat are 14-17 in road contests and have covered the spread 12 times on the road.
- The Heat have a 3-2 record ATS in road games this season as 5.5-point underdogs or more.
- On the road this season, Heat games have hit the over on the set point total 14 times.
- This season on the road the Heat and their opponents have averaged a total of 219.3 points per contest, 2.2 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have covered the spread three times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 4-6 record straight-up in those games.
- The Heat and their opponents have combined to hit the over in five of the past 10 games.
- The past 10 Heat games averaged 3.1 fewer points (218.4) than this matchup’s point total.
- Over their last 10 games, the Heat have a 107.3 points-per-game average, 2.7 points below their season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- This season, Miami has been the underdog 22 times and won seven, or 31.8%, of those games.
- The Heat are 3-6 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +180 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Heat based on the moneyline is 35.7%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.5 (21st in NBA) | 46.1 (10th) | 44.1 (18th) | 45.7 (25th) | 26.1 (15th) | 12.7 (sixth) |
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