Alabama vs. Mississippi State betting: College basketball preview for February 25

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide (22-5, 11-3 SEC) are at home in SEC play against the No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-8, 7-7 SEC) on Tuesday, February 25, 2025 at 9:00 PM ET. The Crimson Tide are favored by 8.5 points in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 174.5.

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Alabama Cover -8.5 vs Mississippi State -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Alabama vs. Mississippi State betting lines

  • Alabama moneyline odds to win: -418
  • Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +326
  • Spread: Alabama (-8.5)
  • Total: 174.5

Alabama statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Alabama has a worse record against the spread at home (7-6-0) than it does in away games (6-4-0).
  • The Crimson Tide have exceeded the over/under in five of 13 home games (38.5%). They’ve fared better in away games, topping the total in seven of 10 matchups (70%).
  • Alabama has played better as a moneyline favorite in home games, posting a home record of 11-2, compared to going 5-1 in road games.

Recent trends

  • The Crimson Tide’s offense has been improved over their last 10 games, racking up 93.0 points per contest compared to the 90.8 they’ve averaged this season.
  • Alabama’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (85.8) is 5.4 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (80.4).
  • Over their last 10 contests, the Crimson Tide are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.5 compared to 10.2 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38.6% compared to 34.2% season-long).

Alabama betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-12-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 9-7-0 (As Favorite: 11-11-0; As Underdog: 4-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-12-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 7-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-4 (Home: 11-2; Away: 5-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.4 (25th in nation) 42.0 (82nd) 39.8 (second) 32.3 (260th) 16.5 (30th) 12.6 (299th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Alabama vs. Mississippi State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Mississippi State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Mississippi State has a lower winning percentage at home (.385, 5-8-0 record) than away (.556, 5-4-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Bulldogs games have gone over seven of 13 times at home (53.8%), and five of nine away (55.6%).

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Bulldogs are posting 73.2 points per contest, compared to their season average of 79.3.
  • While Mississippi State is surrendering 71.9 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its past 10 games, allowing 75.9 points per contest.
  • In their past 10 games, the Bulldogs are making 8.0 treys per contest, 0.4 fewer threes than their season average (8.4). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (30.0%) compared to their season average (31.7%).

Mississippi State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-15-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 10-13-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-13-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-6 (Home: 9-4; Away: 4-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.4 (143rd in nation) 43.1 (137th) 35.9 (25th) 32.1 (245th) 15.5 (65th) 10.2 (78th)
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