MVC foes square off when the Bradley Braves (22-7, 13-5 MVC) visit the Valparaiso Beacons (13-16, 6-12 MVC) at Athletics-Recreation Center, beginning at 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 26, 2025. The Beacons are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup’s over/under is 149.5.

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Bradley vs. Valparaiso betting lines

• Bradley moneyline odds to win: -206
• Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +170
• Spread: Bradley (-4.5)
• Total: 149.5

Bradley statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Bradley has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered six times in 14 games when playing at home, and it has covered five times in 10 games on the road.
• The Braves have gone over the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (50%) than away games (60%).
• As a moneyline favorite, Bradley has won a lower percentage of its games when playing at home (.786) compared to road games (.833).

Recent trends

• The Braves have been scoring 74.1 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 78.4 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
• Bradley has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 75.2 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 69.9 it has surrendered this year.
• During their past 10 outings, the Braves are making 0.5 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.7 compared to 10.2 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (40.8% compared to 41.1% season-long).

Bradley betting records this season

• ATS Record: 13-15-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 5-5-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 8-8-0 (As Favorite: 11-12-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
• O-U-P: 17-11-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 6-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-4 (Home: 11-3; Away: 5-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)

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Valparaiso statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Valparaiso has the same winning percentage against the spread (.500) at home (7-7-0 record) and away (6-5-1) this year.
• In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Beacons’ games have finished above the over/under at home (57.1%, eight of 14) than away (66.7%, eight of 12).
• The Beacons, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-4) than on the road (3-8) this season.

Recent trends

• The Beacons have fared worse offensively in their past 10 games, averaging 72.9 points per contest, 3.1 fewer points their than season average of 76.0.
• Over its past 10 games, Valparaiso is surrendering 78.6 points per contest, 3.5 more points than its season average (75.1).
• In their last 10 games, the Beacons are draining 7.3 three-pointers per game, 0.3 fewer threes than their season average (7.6). They also own a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (32.3%) compared to their season average (33.0%).

Valparaiso betting records this season

• ATS Record: 13-13-1 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 6-5-1)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 8-5-1 (As Favorite: 4-4-0; As Underdog: 9-9-1)
• O-U-P: 17-10-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 8-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-3 (Home: 5-2; Away: 0-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-13 (Home: 3-4; Away: 3-8)