UCF vs. Kansas State betting: College basketball preview for February 26

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Kansas State Wildcats (13-14, 7-9 Big 12) are underdogs (+4.5) as they try to end a three-game losing streak when they visit the UCF Knights (14-13, 5-11 Big 12) at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 26, 2025 at Addition Financial Arena. The game airs on ESPN+. The point total is set at 156.5 for the matchup.

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UCF Cover -4.5 vs Kansas State -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

UCF vs. Kansas State betting lines

  • UCF moneyline odds to win: -201
  • Kansas State moneyline odds to win: +166
  • Spread: UCF (-4.5)
  • Total: 156.5

UCF statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • When playing at home, UCF has a worse record against the spread (7-9-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (4-4-0).
  • The Knights have gone over the total in five of 16 home games (31.2%). They’ve fared better on the road, eclipsing the total in seven of eight matchups (87.5%).

Recent trends

  • The Knights have seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 78.8 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.1 points fewer than the 78.9 they’ve scored this season.
  • UCF’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (85.1) is 4.8 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (80.3).
  • While the Knights are making the same number of threes per game over their past 10 contests when compared to their season-long average (8.5), they are doing so while shooting a lower percentage (33.2% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 33.5% on the season).

UCF betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-15-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 6-7-0; As Underdog: 6-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-11-1 (Home: 5-10-1; Away: 7-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-2 (Home: 10-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-11 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.2 (313th in nation) 45.7 (289th) 31.9 (183rd) 34.3 (338th) 14.0 (147th) 11.8 (242nd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on UCF vs. Kansas State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Kansas State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Kansas State has a better winning percentage at home (.538, 7-6-0 record) than on the road (.500, 5-5-0).
  • Wildcats games have gone above the over/under 38.5% of the time at home (five of 13), and 30% of the time on the road (three of 10).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Wildcats have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-2) than away (2-7).

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Wildcats are compiling 71.3 points per contest, compared to their season average of 72.5.
  • Kansas State has performed better defensively over its past 10 games, giving up 68.1 points per contest, 2.4 fewer points than its season average of 70.5 allowed.
  • The Wildcats are draining 0.2 fewer treys per contest over their last 10 games (8.1) compared to their season average (8.3), but they are producing a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (35.5%) compared to their season mark (34.1%).

Kansas State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-13-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-8-0; As Underdog: 9-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-16-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 3-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-5 (Home: 6-2; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-9 (Home: 3-2; Away: 2-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.9 (174th in nation) 43.6 (164th) 30.2 (293rd) 32.6 (271st) 15.9 (50th) 11.3 (185th)
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