UCSB vs. Cal Poly betting: College basketball preview for February 27

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The UCSB Gauchos (18-10, 10-7 Big West) are favored (by 6 points) to build on a three-game home winning streak when they host the Cal Poly Mustangs (11-17, 5-11 Big West) on Thursday, February 27, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under of 158.5.

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UCSB Cover -6 vs Cal Poly -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

UCSB vs. Cal Poly betting lines

  • UCSB moneyline odds to win: -272
  • Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: +220
  • Spread: UCSB (-6)
  • Total: 158.5

UCSB statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • UCSB sports a better record against the spread in home games (6-7-0) than it does on the road (5-7-1).
  • The Gauchos have gone over the total in a higher percentage of games at home (53.8%) than away games (30.8%).
  • UCSB has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 9-4 (.692). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 6-2 (.750).

Recent trends

  • The Gauchos’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, putting up 73.2 points a contest compared to the 73.8 they’ve averaged this year.
  • UCSB’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (68.6) is 2.3 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (66.3).
  • During their past 10 outings, the Gauchos are making 0.1 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.8 compared to 9.7 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (39.4% compared to 38.7% season-long).

UCSB betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-14-1 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 5-7-1)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 6+: 7-5-1 (As Favorite: 8-13-1; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-15-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 4-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-6 (Home: 9-4; Away: 6-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.2 (54th in nation) 41.6 (63rd) 31.6 (201st) 28.1 (33rd) 14.9 (92nd) 11.6 (226th)

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Cal Poly statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Cal Poly has had better results on the road (7-8-0) than at home (5-6-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Mustangs games have finished over five of 11 times at home (45.5%), and 11 of 15 on the road (73.3%).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Mustangs have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-4) than on the road (3-10).

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Mustangs are putting up 79.6 points per game, 0.9 fewer points than their season average (80.5).
  • While Cal Poly is surrendering 83.9 points per game in 2024-25, it has improved that mark in its last 10 games, allowing 81.2 points per contest.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Mustangs are making 10.7 threes per contest, 0.1 fewer threes than their season average (10.8). They own a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (35.7%) compared to their season average (34.4%).

Cal Poly betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-14-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 7-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 6+: 4-6-0 (As Favorite: 2-4-0; As Underdog: 10-10-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-10-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 11-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-2 (Home: 3-1; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-14 (Home: 3-4; Away: 3-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.6 (132nd in nation) 45.8 (297th) 31.4 (217th) 35.1 (348th) 14.9 (92nd) 16.0 (363rd)
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