Merrimack vs. Rider betting: College basketball preview for February 28

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Rider Broncs (10-18, 6-11 MAAC) are 9-point underdogs as they try to break a three-game losing streak when they visit the Merrimack Warriors (15-13, 12-5 MAAC) on Friday, February 28, 2025 at Hammel Court. The contest airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under in the matchup is 131.5.

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Merrimack Cover -9 vs Rider -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Merrimack vs. Rider betting lines

  • Merrimack moneyline odds to win: -498
  • Rider moneyline odds to win: +373
  • Spread: Merrimack (-9)
  • Total: 131.5

Merrimack statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Merrimack has done a better job covering the spread in away games (9-7-0) than it has at home (3-8-0).
  • The Warriors have hit the over on the total in a lower percentage of games at home (0%) than road tilts (62.5%).
  • Merrimack has performed worse as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 6-3, compared to going 6-1 on the road.

Recent trends

  • The Warriors have been putting up 65.1 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 65.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 campaign.
  • Merrimack’s defense has been tough as of late, as the team has given up 60.1 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 64.4 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
  • During their past 10 contests, the Warriors are making 0.4 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.3 compared to 7.7 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (28.9% compared to 32.3% season-long).

Merrimack betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-16-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 9-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 9+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 6-11-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-17-0 (Home: 0-11-0; Away: 10-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-4 (Home: 6-3; Away: 6-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-9 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.0 (320th in nation) 41.1 (46th) 26.1 (360th) 37.5 (364th) 11.6 (314th) 8.7 (sixth)

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Rider statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Rider has had better results on the road (9-9-0) than at home (4-6-0).
  • Broncs games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (four times out of 10) than away (nine of 18) this year.
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Broncs have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-3) than on the road (6-10).

Recent trends

  • The Broncs have fared better offensively in their past 10 games, posting 66.0 points per contest, 0.6 more than their season average of 65.4.
  • Rider is allowing 71.1 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 0.8 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (71.9).
  • The Broncs are draining 5.3 threes per contest in their last 10 games, the same number as their average for the season. Meanwhile, they own a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (33.3%) compared to their season average from three-point land (30.8%).

Rider betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-15-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 9-9-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 9+: 1-4-0 (As Favorite: 2-5-0; As Underdog: 11-10-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-15-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 9-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-5 (Home: 0-4; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 9-13 (Home: 3-3; Away: 6-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.8 (327th in nation) 45.7 (288th) 31.3 (222nd) 31.0 (177th) 12.1 (290th) 10.5 (107th)
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