The Buffalo Bulls (8-20, 3-12 MAC) are 7-point underdogs as they try to stop a four-game losing streak when they host the Toledo Rockets (16-12, 9-6 MAC) on Saturday, March 1, 2025 at Alumni Arena. The matchup airs at 4:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is set at 159.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Toledo Cover -7 vs Buffalo -110
Toledo vs. Buffalo betting lines
- Toledo moneyline odds to win: -307
- Buffalo moneyline odds to win: +244
- Spread: Toledo (-7)
- Total: 159.5
Toledo statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Toledo has done a better job covering the spread in road games (9-5-0) than it has in home games (2-7-1).
- The Rockets have exceeded the total in a lower percentage of home games (30%) than road games (57.1%).
- Toledo has performed worse as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 6-3, compared to going 4-1 on the road.
Recent trends
- The Rockets have been racking up 77.1 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 77.4 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Toledo’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has allowed 79.4 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 78.4 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
- The Rockets’ past 10 outings have seen them make 6.5 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.5% from deep. Both numbers are up compared to their 2024-25 averages of 6 makes and 33.9%.
Toledo betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-14-1 (Home: 2-7-1; Away: 9-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7+: 3-5-1 (As Favorite: 6-10-1; As Underdog: 6-4-0)
- O-U-P: 13-14-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 8-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-5 (Home: 6-3; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.6 (130th in nation) | 47.8 (348th) | 31.5 (208th) | 32.3 (256th) | 13.1 (221st) | 9.1 (14th) |
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Buffalo statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Buffalo has performed better against the spread on the road (8-6-1) than at home (3-8-0) this year.
- Bulls games have gone above the over/under 36.4% of the time at home (four of 11), and 53.3% of the time away (eight of 15).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Bulls have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-8) than on the road (3-12).
Recent trends
- While the Bulls are putting up 71.4 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, producing 70.8 points per contest.
- While Buffalo is allowing 80.8 points per game in 2024-25, it has bettered that mark in its last 10 games, allowing 79.5 points per contest.
- The Bulls are making 0.6 fewer threes per contest in their past 10 games (7.1) compared to their season average (7.7), and they are posting a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (28.6%) compared to their season mark (29.7%).
Buffalo betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-14-1 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 8-6-1)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7+: 8-7-1 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 10-13-1)
- O-U-P: 12-14-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 8-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-20 (Home: 1-8; Away: 3-12)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.1 (319th in nation) | 46.6 (319th) | 31.5 (208th) | 35.6 (352nd) | 13.5 (192nd) | 14.3 (353rd) |
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