UIC vs. Valparaiso betting: College basketball preview for March 2

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The UIC Flames (17-13, 9-10 MVC) are at home in MVC action against the Valparaiso Beacons (13-17, 6-13 MVC) on Sunday, March 2, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET. The Flames are favored by 6.5 points in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5 points.

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UIC Cover -6.5 vs Valparaiso -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

UIC vs. Valparaiso betting lines

  • UIC moneyline odds to win: -275
  • Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +221
  • Spread: UIC (-6.5)
  • Total: 154.5

UIC statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • UIC has a worse record against the spread when playing at home (5-7-0) than it does on the road (9-4-0).
  • The Flames have eclipsed the total in a higher percentage of home games (66.7%) than road games (53.8%).
  • UIC has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 4-3 (.571). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 2-0 (1.000).

Recent trends

  • The Flames have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 71.4 points per game in their last 10 contests, six points fewer than the 77.4 they’ve scored this season.
  • UIC has been less stingy on defense lately, giving up 75.3 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 74.1 points per game its opponents average in the 2024-25 season.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Flames are making 0.8 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.5 compared to 8.3 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (33.6% compared to 35.3% season-long).

UIC betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-13-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 9-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 1-4-0 (As Favorite: 4-6-0; As Underdog: 11-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-11-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 7-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-3 (Home: 4-3; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 8-10 (Home: 2-2; Away: 5-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.1 (107th in nation) 44.8 (235th) 32.4 (155th) 30.7 (155th) 15.8 (51st) 11.5 (215th)

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Valparaiso statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Valparaiso has had better results on the road (6-5-1) than at home (7-8-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Beacons games have gone over less frequently at home (eight of 15, 53.3%) than away (eight of 12, 66.7%).
  • The Beacons, as moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-5) than on the road (3-8) this season.

Recent trends

  • The Beacons have played worse offensively in their last 10 games, averaging 72.3 points per contest, 3.4 fewer points their than season average of 75.7.
  • In its past 10 games, Valparaiso is surrendering 78.1 points per game, three more points than its season average (75.1).
  • The Beacons are sinking 7.9 three-pointers per game with a 33.1% three-point percentage over their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.7 and 33.3%.

Valparaiso betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-14-1 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 6-5-1)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 5-4-1 (As Favorite: 4-4-0; As Underdog: 9-10-1)
  • O-U-P: 17-11-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 8-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-3 (Home: 5-2; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-14 (Home: 3-5; Away: 3-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.1 (278th in nation) 46.6 (322nd) 30.8 (255th) 31.5 (210th) 11.7 (310th) 9.6 (38th)
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