The Oklahoma City Thunder (49-11) are heavy, 11.5-point favorites as they look to build on a three-game win streak when they host the Houston Rockets (37-23) on Monday, March 3, 2025 at Paycom Center. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on NBA TV, FDSOK, and SCHN. The over/under for the matchup is set at 228.5.
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Spread
Bet $20, Payout $39.05
Thunder Cover -11.5 vs Rockets -105
Thunder vs. Rockets betting lines
- Thunder odds to win: -562
- Rockets odds to win: +409
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
- Total: 228.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Thunder Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Oklahoma City has a 20-9-1 record against the spread at home and is 26-4 in home contests.
- Oklahoma City’s record against the spread is 9-6-1 when playing as 11.5-point favorites or more at home this year.
- The Thunder have gone over a set point total in a home game 18 times this season.
- Oklahoma City and its opponents have averaged a total of 225.3 points per home contest this year, 3.2 points fewer than this game’s listed total.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder have a 8-2 record straight-up in their past 10 contests, while covering the spread five times in those games.
- The Thunder’s last 10 contests saw seven hit the over.
- The past 10 Thunder games averaged 3.5 more points (232.0) than this matchup’s over/under.
- Over their last 10 games, the Thunder have scored 8.2 more points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
Thunder Betting Records
- The Thunder have a 48-10 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 82.8% of those games).
- Oklahoma City has gone 23-2 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -562 or shorter (winning 92%).
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Thunder’s implied win probability is 84.9%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (eighth in NBA) | 43.5 (first) | 44.7 (13th) | 45.4 (25th) | 26.8 (12th) | 11.2 (first) |
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Rockets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Rockets have a 17-13 record against the spread on the road and are 17-13 in road contests.
- The Rockets have a 1-0 record ATS in road games this year when playing as 11.5-point underdogs or more.
- The Rockets have hit the over in 19 of their 30 road games this season with a set over/under (63.3%).
- This season on the road the Rockets and their opponents have averaged a total of 223.3 points per contest, 5.2 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Rockets Recent Trends
- The Rockets have covered the spread three times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 5-5 record straight-up in those games.
- The final scores of the last 10 Rockets games have exceeded the set total four times.
- The Rockets’ past 10 outings have ended with an average of 224.4 points scored. That’s 4.1 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- During their last 10 games, the Rockets have a 108.7 points-per-game average, 3.9 points below their season-long scoring average.
Rockets Betting Records
- This season, Houston has won nine out of the 20 games, or 45%, in which it has been the underdog.
- The Rockets have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +409 moneyline set for this game.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 19.6% chance of a victory for the Rockets.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6 (26th in NBA) | 45.4 (fifth) | 48.1 (first) | 42.9 (seventh) | 22.6 (30th) | 13.1 (10th) |
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