The Texas Longhorns (16-13, 5-11 SEC) are 7.5-point underdogs as they try to break a three-game losing streak when they visit the No. 25 Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-9, 8-8 SEC) on Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at Humphrey Coliseum. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on SEC Network. The matchup has a point total of 152.5.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
Mississippi State Cover -7.5 vs Texas -105
Mississippi State vs. Texas betting lines
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: -305
- Texas moneyline odds to win: +245
- Spread: Mississippi State (-7.5)
- Total: 152.5
Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Mississippi State has done a better job covering the spread on the road (5-5-0) than it has at home (6-8-0).
- The Bulldogs have exceeded the total in a lower percentage of home games (57.1%) than road games (60%).
- Mississippi State has played worse as a moneyline favorite in home games, sporting a home record of 10-4, compared to going 4-1 in road games.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Bulldogs have been scoring 74.6 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 79.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Mississippi State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (79.0) is 5.9 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (73.1).
- The Bulldogs’ last 10 outings have seen them make 7.4 three-pointers per game while shooting 28.7% from deep. Both numbers are below their 2024-25 averages of 8.2 makes and 31.2%.
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-16-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 6-6-0 (As Favorite: 11-13-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 16-13-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-6 (Home: 10-4; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 (144th in nation) | 43.3 (143rd) | 35.9 (25th) | 32.3 (262nd) | 15.2 (76th) | 10.4 (99th) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Mississippi State vs. Texas? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Texas statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This year, Texas is 8-9-0 at home against the spread (.471 winning percentage). Away, it is 4-5-0 ATS (.444).
- In terms of the over/under, Longhorns games have finished over 12 of 17 times at home (70.6%), and five of nine away (55.6%).
- The Longhorns, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-3) than on the road (1-5) this year.
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Longhorns are posting 75.5 points per game, 2.5 fewer points than their season average (78.0).
- Texas is giving up 79.7 points per game in its past 10 games, which is 8.9 more points than it is allowing for the season (70.8).
- The Longhorns are making 7.3 three-pointers per game in their previous 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.6). In addition, they own a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (33.2%) compared to their season average from downtown (35.8%).
Texas betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-16-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 9-11-0; As Underdog: 4-5-0)
- O-U-P: 18-10-1 (Home: 12-4-1; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-5 (Home: 10-3; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-8 (Home: 0-3; Away: 1-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.5 (92nd in nation) | 42.7 (112th) | 32.4 (156th) | 30.9 (167th) | 13.4 (201st) | 9.4 (29th) |
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
