The LSU Tigers (14-15, 3-13 SEC) are big, 12-point underdogs as they attempt to turn around a three-game losing streak when they visit the No. 19 Kentucky Wildcats (19-10, 8-8 SEC) on Tuesday, March 4, 2025 at Rupp Arena. The game airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The matchup’s over/under is set at 156.5.

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Kentucky vs. LSU betting lines

• Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -917
• LSU moneyline odds to win: +610
• Spread: Kentucky (-12)
• Total: 156.5

Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Kentucky sports a better record against the spread when playing at home (9-8-0) than it does in away games (3-6-0).
• In home games, the Wildcats eclipse the over/under 58.8% of the time (10 of 17 games). They’ve hit the over in 55.6% of games on the road (five of nine contests).
• When playing at home, Kentucky has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 13-2 (.867). In road games, it is 1-3 (.250) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

• On offense, the Wildcats have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 80.0 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 85.3 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
• Kentucky has been less stingy on defense lately, giving up 79.6 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 77.2 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2024-25 season.
• The Wildcats’ 8.9 made three-pointers per-game average during their past 10 games are less than the 9.7 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 38.4% compared to their season-long percentage of 37.3% from beyond the arc.

Kentucky betting records this season

• ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 3-6-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 12+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 8-12-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
• O-U-P: 16-13-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 5-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-6 (Home: 13-2; Away: 1-3)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-4 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-3)

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LSU statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• This season, LSU is 9-8-0 at home against the spread (.529 winning percentage). Away, it is 3-5-1 ATS (.333).
• In terms of the over/under, Tigers games have finished over more often at home (10 of 17, 58.8%) than away (three of nine, 33.3%).
• The Tigers’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .143 (1-6), and on the road it is .222 (2-7).

Recent trends

• The Tigers have fared worse offensively over their previous 10 games, putting up 67.8 points per contest, 7.5 fewer points their than season average of 75.3.
• While LSU is giving up 72.5 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse in its previous 10 games, allowing 77.0 points per contest.
• The Tigers are making 8.4 three-pointers per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.4 more than their average for the season (8.0). Likewise, they own a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (31.6%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (31.1%).

LSU betting records this season

• ATS Record: 13-15-1 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 3-5-1)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 12+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 7-4-0; As Underdog: 6-11-1)
• O-U-P: 14-15-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 3-6-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-0 (Home: 10-0; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-15 (Home: 1-6; Away: 2-7)