Cincinnati vs. Kansas State betting: College basketball preview for March 5

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Kansas State Wildcats (14-15, 8-10 Big 12) are 8.5-point underdogs as they try to stop a three-game road losing streak when they square off against the Cincinnati Bearcats (17-12, 7-11 Big 12) on Wednesday, March 5, 2025 at Fifth Third Arena. The contest airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total is set at 137.5 for the matchup.

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Spread

Cincinnati Cover -8.5 vs Kansas State -103

Bet $20, Payout $39.42

Cincinnati vs. Kansas State betting lines

  • Cincinnati moneyline odds to win: -394
  • Kansas State moneyline odds to win: +308
  • Spread: Cincinnati (-8.5)
  • Total: 137.5

Cincinnati statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Cincinnati has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (6-5-1) than it has in home games (7-9-0).
  • The Bearcats have exceeded the over/under more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in six of 16 home matchups (37.5%). In road games, they have hit the over in three of 12 games (25%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Cincinnati has picked up the win in 12 of 14 games at home, good for a .857 winning percentage. It has won three of five games away from home (.600) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Bearcats have been putting up 71.5 points per game, an average that’s a little higher than the 71.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • The past 10 games have seen Cincinnati concede 4.9 more points per game (70.2) than its season-long average (65.3).
  • The Bearcats are trending up from deep over their last 10 outings, making 7.7 threes per game and shooting 36.8% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 7.5 makes and 33.2% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Cincinnati betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-14-1 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 6-5-1)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 11-9-0; As Underdog: 3-5-1)
  • O-U-P: 9-20-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 3-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-4 (Home: 12-2; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-8 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.5 (139th in nation) 42.5 (100th) 31.7 (190th) 29.4 (78th) 13.7 (173rd) 9.2 (19th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Cincinnati vs. Kansas State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Kansas State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Kansas State has a better winning percentage at home (.571, 8-6-0 record) than away (.545, 6-5-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Wildcats games have gone over five of 14 times at home (35.7%), and three of 11 on the road (27.3%).
  • The Wildcats’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .600 (3-2), and on the road it is .200 (2-8).

Recent trends

  • The Wildcats are putting up 71.9 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.5 fewer points than their average for the season (72.4).
  • Kansas State is ceding 68.7 points per contest in its previous 10 games, which is 1.6 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (70.3).
  • The Wildcats are sinking 0.2 fewer three-pointers per game in their last 10 games (8.0) compared to their season average (8.2), but they are posting a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (34.8%) compared to their season mark (34.0%).

Kansas State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-13-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 6-8-0; As Underdog: 10-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-18-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 3-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-10 (Home: 3-2; Away: 2-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.4 (202nd in nation) 43.5 (165th) 30.1 (292nd) 32.7 (283rd) 15.7 (54th) 11.2 (184th)
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