The No. 4 Tennessee Volunteers (24-5, 11-5 SEC) are favored (-2.5) to continue a four-game winning streak when they visit the Ole Miss Rebels (20-9, 9-7 SEC) at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 5, 2025 at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss. The game airs on ESPN2. The matchup’s over/under is set at 139.5.
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Tennessee Cover -2.5 vs Ole Miss -108
Tennessee vs. Ole Miss betting lines
- Tennessee moneyline odds to win: -139
- Ole Miss moneyline odds to win: +116
- Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
- Total: 139.5
Tennessee statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Tennessee has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered nine times in 16 opportunities at home, and it has covered five times in 10 opportunities on the road.
- When it comes to point totals, the Volunteers hit the over more consistently at home, as they’ve eclipsed the total eight times in 16 opportunities this season (50%). In road games, they have hit the over three times in 10 opportunities (30%).
- When playing at home, Tennessee has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 14-1 (.933). When playing on the road, it is 4-2 (.667) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Volunteers have seen a downturn in scoring lately, putting up 70.9 points per game in their last 10 outings, 3.6 points fewer than the 74.5 they’ve scored this year.
- Tennessee’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has given up 66.3 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 61.3 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- The Volunteers are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 7.9 threes per game and shooting 33.8% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.5 makes and 34.6% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Tennessee betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-13-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 12-12-0 (As Favorite: 13-12-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 11-18-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 21-3 (Home: 14-1; Away: 4-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1 (162nd in nation) | 37.4 (first) | 34.3 (63rd) | 27.3 (15th) | 15.4 (65th) | 9.9 (54th) |
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Ole Miss statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Ole Miss’ winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .400. It is 6-9-0 ATS on its home court and 4-6-0 on the road.
- Looking at the over/under, Rebels games have gone over less often at home (six of 15, 40%) than on the road (five of 10, 50%).
- The Rebels, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (3-5) this season.
Recent trends
- While the Rebels are scoring 77.9 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their past 10 games, amassing 77.7 points per contest.
- Ole Miss is allowing 81.4 points per game in its previous 10 games, which is 10.4 more points than it is allowing for the season (71.0).
- Over their last 10 games, the Rebels are making 7.4 threes per contest, 1.2 fewer threes than their season average (8.6). They also sport a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (34.3%) compared to their season average (34.9%).
Ole Miss betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 8-10-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
- O-U-P: 14-15-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-2 (Home: 12-2; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.7 (183rd in nation) | 42.8 (115th) | 29.6 (314th) | 33.1 (292nd) | 14.8 (98th) | 8.6 (fourth) |

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