The Alabama State Hornets (14-15, 10-6 SWAC) are 5.5-point underdogs as they look to build on a three-game road win streak when they take on the Southern Jaguars (19-10, 14-2 SWAC) on Thursday, March 6, 2025 at F.G. Clark Activity Center. The game airs at 9 p.m. ET on SWAC Digital Network. The over/under in the matchup is 143.

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Southern vs. Alabama State betting lines

• Southern moneyline odds to win: -259
• Alabama State moneyline odds to win: +210
• Spread: Southern (-5.5)
• Total: 143

Southern statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Against the spread, Southern has played worse at home, covering three times in eight home games, and nine times in 18 road games.
• In terms of point totals, the Jaguars hit the over more consistently at home, as they’ve gone over the total four times in eight opportunities this season (50%). On the road, they have hit the over eight times in 18 opportunities (44.4%).
• Southern has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 7-0 (1.000). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 7-3 (.700).

Recent trends

• The Jaguars have been putting up 74.1 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 75.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 campaign.
• Southern has been tougher on defense as of late, giving up 67.1 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 68.8 points per game its opponents average over the 2024-25 season.
• The Jaguars’ past 10 outings have seen them make 6.9 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.3% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2024-25 averages of 6.8 makes and 32.9%.

Southern betting records this season

• ATS Record: 12-14-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 9-9-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 5-6-0 (As Favorite: 7-11-0; As Underdog: 5-3-0)
• O-U-P: 12-14-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 8-10-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-3 (Home: 7-0; Away: 7-3)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-6 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-6)

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Alabama State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• This year, Alabama State is 4-6-0 at home against the spread (.400 winning percentage). On the road, it is 5-8-0 ATS (.385).
• Looking at the over/under, Hornets games have finished over more frequently at home (five of 10, 50%) than away (three of 13, 23.1%).
• The Hornets, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than away (0-8) this season.

Recent trends

• The Hornets have performed worse offensively over their past 10 games, scoring 72.5 points per contest, 2.1 fewer points their than season average of 74.6.
• Over its previous 10 games, Alabama State is giving up 67.1 points per contest, compared to its season average of 74.0 points allowed.
• In their past 10 games, the Hornets are draining 8.5 three-pointers per contest, 0.5 fewer threes than their season average (9.0). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (31.6%) compared to their season average (32.7%).

Alabama State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 11-16-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 5-8-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 7-10-0; As Underdog: 4-6-0)
• O-U-P: 11-16-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 3-10-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-5 (Home: 6-3; Away: 4-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-9 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-8)