The Tarleton State Texans (12-17, 7-7 WAC) are 7.5-point underdogs as they try to break a six-game road losing streak when they take on the Cal Baptist Lancers (14-14, 7-7 WAC) on Thursday, March 6, 2025 at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center. The matchup airs at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is set at 129.5.
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Cal Baptist Cover -7.5 vs Tarleton State -111
Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State betting lines
- Cal Baptist moneyline odds to win: -344
- Tarleton State moneyline odds to win: +270
- Spread: Cal Baptist (-7.5)
- Total: 129.5
Cal Baptist statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Cal Baptist has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered three times in 14 games at home, and it has covered six times in 12 games when playing on the road.
- At home, the Lancers go over the total 57.1% of the time (eight of 14 games). They’ve hit the over in 33.3% of games on the road (four of 12 contests).
- In 12 home games as a moneyline favorite, Cal Baptist has eight wins (.667). It has the same winning percentage (4-2 record) as a moneyline favorite away from home.
Recent trends
- The Lancers’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, putting up 70.8 points a contest compared to the 72.2 they’ve averaged this season.
- The last 10 games have seen Cal Baptist concede 2.9 fewer points per game (68.5) than its season-long average (71.4).
- The Lancers’ 6.3 made three-pointers per-game average in their last 10 games are less than the 6.4 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 34.4% compared to their season-long percentage of 30.8% from deep.
Cal Baptist betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-18-0 (Home: 3-11-0; Away: 6-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 1-6-0 (As Favorite: 6-13-0; As Underdog: 4-5-0)
- O-U-P: 14-14-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 4-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-6 (Home: 8-4; Away: 4-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-8 (Home: 1-1; Away: 0-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.1 (277th in nation) | 45.3 (260th) | 33.4 (93rd) | 30.6 (146th) | 11.8 (305th) | 11.5 (219th) |
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Tarleton State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Tarleton State has performed better against the spread at home (8-2-0) than away (5-9-0) this season.
- Texans games have finished above the over/under 50% of the time at home (five of 10), and 42.9% of the time away (six of 14).
- This year the Texans are 3-2 at home when moneyline underdogs (.600 winning percentage). Away they are 1-13 (.071).
Recent trends
- While the Texans are posting 64.1 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, producing 61.7 points per contest.
- Tarleton State is giving up 68.6 points per game over its last 10 games, which is 1.5 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (70.1).
- In their past 10 games, the Texans are draining 3.4 treys per game, 0.8 fewer threes than their season average (4.2). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (26.6%) compared to their season average (32.8%).
Tarleton State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-13-0 (Home: 8-2-0; Away: 5-9-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 6-8-0 (As Favorite: 4-1-0; As Underdog: 10-12-0)
- O-U-P: 12-15-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 6-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-0 (Home: 4-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-17 (Home: 3-2; Away: 1-13)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.4 (258th in nation) | 44.8 (236th) | 27.2 (352nd) | 28.6 (43rd) | 10.8 (346th) | 16.3 (364th) |
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