Timberwolves vs. Heat betting: NBA preview for March 7

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Minnesota Timberwolves (35-29) are 3.5-point favorites as they try to build on a three-game winning streak when they visit the Miami Heat (29-32) on Friday, March 7, 2025 at Kaseya Center. The contest airs at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSN. The point total in the matchup is set at 219.5.

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Timberwolves Cover -3.5 vs Heat -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Timberwolves vs. Heat betting lines

  • Timberwolves odds to win: -159
  • Heat odds to win: +135
  • Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
  • Total: 219.5
  • TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network
  • Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Timberwolves Statistics, Trends and More

As the Away Team

  • Minnesota has an 18-15 record against the spread on the road and are 18-15 in road contests.
  • This year, Minnesota is 7-8 ATS in road games when playing as 3.5-point favorites or more.
  • Timberwolves road games have hit the over on the set point total 18 times this year.
  • This season on the road Minnesota and its opponents have averaged a total of 221.4 points per contest, 1.9 points greater than the over/under for this contest.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

  • The Timberwolves are 5-5 overall and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 games.
  • The Timberwolves’ past 10 outings saw six hit the over.
  • The last 10 Timberwolves games averaged 225.9 total points, 6.4 more points than this matchup’s point total.
  • During their past 10 games, the Timberwolves have a points-per-game average 4.6 points above their season-long scoring average.

Timberwolves Betting Records

  • The Timberwolves are 28-19 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 59.6% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -159 or shorter, Minnesota has gone 22-13 (62.9% win percentage).
  • The Timberwolves have a 61.4% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.0 (19th in NBA) 45.8 (seventh) 43.9 (16th) 43.8 (13th) 25.5 (19th) 13.8 (19th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Timberwolves vs. Heat? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Heat Statistics, Trends and More

As the Home Team

  • The Heat have gone over a set point total in a home game 18 times this year.
  • The Heat have covered the spread 14 times at home and is 15-12 in home contests.
  • The Heat’s record against the spread is 8-4-1 as 3.5-point underdogs or more in home games this year.
  • Recent performance gives an edge to the Heat to beat the total. This year their home games averaged a total of 219.6 points per contest.

Heat Recent Trends

  • The Heat have covered the spread six times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 4-6 record straight-up in those games.
  • Heat’s past 10 games saw six go over the total.
  • The Heat’s past 10 outings have ended with an average of 222.2 points scored. That’s 2.7 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • During their last 10 games, the Heat have scored 1.2 more points per contest compared to their 110.2 PPG season-long scoring average.

Heat Betting Records

  • This season, Miami has been the underdog 27 times and won eight, or 29.6%, of those games.
  • The Heat are 4-12 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +135 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 42.6% chance of a victory for the Heat.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.8 (21st in NBA) 46.3 (12th) 43.7 (21st) 45.2 (22nd) 26.4 (15th) 12.7 (sixth)
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Ryan Knuppel

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About Ryan Knuppel

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Betting Guide

How Money Line Works?

Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.

How to Bet Odds

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What is the Spread?

If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing.  The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …