The No. 16 Memphis Tigers (25-5, 15-2 AAC) are heavily favored (by 12.5 points) to build on a nine-game home winning streak when they host the South Florida Bulls (13-17, 6-11 AAC) on Friday, March 7, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under of 152.5 points.
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Memphis Cover -12.5 vs South Florida -109
Memphis vs. South Florida betting lines
- Memphis moneyline odds to win: -971
- South Florida moneyline odds to win: +636
- Spread: Memphis (-12.5)
- Total: 152.5
Memphis statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Memphis sports a worse record against the spread at home (5-9-0) than it does on the road (6-6-0).
- The Tigers have gone over the over/under in nine of 14 home games (64.3%), compared to five of 12 road games (41.7%).
- In home games, Memphis has won more often as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 12-1 (.923). When playing on the road, it is 8-2 (.800) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Tigers have been racking up 81.7 points per contest, an average that’s slightly higher than the 79.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Memphis has been more stingy on defense as of late, giving up 72.9 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 73.1 points per game its opponents average over the 2024-25 season.
- Over their past 10 outings, the Tigers are making 0.4 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.3 compared to 7.7 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (37.2% compared to 38.8% season-long).
Memphis betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-16-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 6-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 12.5+: 1-6-0 (As Favorite: 9-14-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 16-14-0 (Home: 9-5-0; Away: 5-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-3 (Home: 12-1; Away: 8-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.6 (43rd in nation) | 42.1 (82nd) | 33.6 (85th) | 30.8 (164th) | 14.3 (125th) | 13.4 (337th) |
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South Florida statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, South Florida has a lower winning percentage at home (.286, 4-10-0 record) than on the road (.455, 5-6-0).
- Bulls games have finished above the over/under less often at home (four times out of 14) than on the road (four of 11) this year.
- The Bulls, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-4) than away (2-7) this year.
Recent trends
- The Bulls are posting 72.3 points per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 2.5 fewer points than their average for the season (74.8).
- In its last 10 games, South Florida is allowing 76.8 points per contest, 2.5 more points than its season average (74.3).
- The Bulls are draining 1.4 fewer treys per game over their previous 10 games (5.7) compared to their season average (7.1), and they are posting a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (27.8%) compared to their season mark (31.9%).
South Florida betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-20-0 (Home: 4-10-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 12.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 4-10-0; As Underdog: 5-10-0)
- O-U-P: 10-19-0 (Home: 4-10-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-5 (Home: 8-2; Away: 0-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-12 (Home: 0-4; Away: 2-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.7 (181st in nation) | 43.1 (133rd) | 31.3 (213th) | 34.2 (335th) | 14.5 (113th) | 10.8 (142nd) |
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